411's MMA Roundtable - The Ultimate Fighter 14 Finale

Posted by Dan Plunkett on 12.03.2011

Michael Bisping faces Jason “Mayhem” Miller in the main event of The Ultimate Fighter 14 Finale! Plus, two new Ultimate Fighter champions will be crowned as Dennis Bermudez takes on Diego Brandao and TJ Dillashaw battles John Dodson! Check out the full roundtable and join 411 for LIVE coverage of the event on Saturday night!



WELCOME:
Two new Ultimate Fighter champions will be crowned on Saturday night! Dennis Bermudez takes on Diego Brandao for the featherweight contract, and TJ Dillashaw battles John Dodson in the bantamweight finals! In the main event, the coaches will battle it out in a five round fight as Michael Bisping faces Jason "Mayhem" Miller. Plus, season 13 winner Tony Ferguson fights Yves Edwards, Johnny Bedford vs. Louis Gadinot, and more!

THE STAFF:

From The Juggernaut MMA News Report, Jonathan Solomon!

From the MMA 5 & 1, Stewart Lange!

He's the host of 411 Ground and Pound Radio, Mark Radulich!

From Locked in the Guillotine, Robert Winfree!

From MMA's 3R's, Jeffrey Harris!

From The View from the Cheap Seats, Scott Kuczkowski!

And from Thoughts From Across The Pond, Alex Watt!



THE PRELIMINARY CARD:
Featherweight Bout: Josh Ferguson vs. Roland Delorme

Jonathan Solomon: Josh Ferguson, TKO, Round 2
Stewart Lange: Josh Ferguson, TKO, Round 1
Mark Radulich: Roland Delorme, Submission, Round 1
Robert Winfree: Josh Ferguson, TKO Round 2
Jeffrey Harris: Josh Ferguson, Decision
Scott Kuczkowski: Roland Delorme, Decision.
Alex Watt: Josh Ferguson, TKO, Round 2
The staff picks Josh Ferguson, 5-2.

Featherweight Bout: Josh Clopton vs. Steven Siler

Jonathan Solomon: Josh Clopton, Decision
Stewart Lange: Josh Clopton, Submission, Round 2
Mark Radulich: Steven Siler, Submission, Round 3
Robert Winfree: Steven Siler, Decision
Jeffrey Harris: Steven Siler, Decision
Scott Kuczkowski: Steven Siler, Submission, Round 1.
Alex Watt: Steven Siler, Submission, Round 2
The staff picks Steven Siler, 5-2.

Featherweight Bout: Dustin Neace vs. Bryan Caraway

Jonathan Solomon: Bryan Caraway, Submission, Round 3
Stewart Lange: Dustin Neace, Submission, Round 2
Mark Radulich: Bryan Caraway, Decision
Robert Winfree: Dustin Neace, Submission Round 1
Jeffrey Harris: Bryan Caraway, Decision
Scott Kuczkowski: Bryan Caraway, Submission, Round 1.
Alex Watt: Bryan Caraway, Submission, Round 1
The staff picks Bryan Caraway, 5-2.

Featherweight Bout: Marcus Brimage vs. Stephan Bass

Jonathan Solomon: Stephen Bass, Decision
Stewart Lange: Marcus Brimage, TKO, Round 2
Mark Radulich: Stephan Bass, Submission, Round 1
Robert Winfree: Marcus Brimage, TKO Round 1
Jeffrey Harris: Marcus Brimage, TKO, Round 1
Scott Kuczkowski: Stephan Bass, Decision.
Alex Watt: Marcus Brimage, TKO, Round 2
The staff picks Marcus Brimage, 4-3.

Bantamweight Bout: Dustin Pague vs. John Albert

Jonathan Solomon: Dustin Pague, TKO, Round 3
Stewart Lange: John Albert, Decision
Mark Radulich: Dustin Pague, Decision
Robert Winfree: John Albert, TKO Round 3
Jeffrey Harris: Dustin Pague, Decision
Scott Kuczkowski: Dustin Pague, Submission, Round 2.
Alex Watt: Dustin Pague, Submission, Round 2
The staff picks Dustin Pague, 5-2.

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THE MAIN CARD:
Bantamweight Bout: Johnny Bedford vs. Louis Gadinot

Jonathan Solomon: Louis Gaudinot is one of the fighters from TUF 14 who is a natural flyweight but bulked up to 135 pounds to enter the UFC. With wins, you get the feeling that guys like Gaudinot and John Dodson will bide their time in the promotion until they bring in the flyweight division. Anyway, this is a tough match-up for Louis. Johnny Bedford has about a 7-inch height advantage and should have a decent reach advantage, too. He was a wrestler in college and has worked hard improving his grappling game to benefit his MMA career. He's 17-9-1, having last fought one year ago when he defeated Frank Gomez with a rear naked choke. In total, he has 8 submission wins. Gaudinot is 5-1 having fought exclusively in Ring of Combat up until his time on the Ultimate Fighter. He was Team Bisping's #1 pick at bantamweight but lost in the second round to Dustin Pague who rocked him before submitting him. In this fight, Gaudinot will need to close the distance and win the striking battle because Bedford's game is strong on the ground. However, Gaudinot may struggle with the size disadvantages, giving Bedford the edge.

Winner: Johnny Bedford, Submission, Round 2

Stewart Lange: Louis Gaudinot is a pretty good fighter, certainly a very marketable one for the UFC (mainly because people will remember his hair) but he's just too small for his weight class. He isn't as good as John Dodson and Bedford was able to show signs of bullying him, so I doubt he'll have a hard time doing it against Gaudinot. With any luck Louis will have better luck with the introduction of a flyweight division, because I see him struggling here.

Winner: Johnny Bedford, TKO, Round 3

Mark Radulich: Johnny Bedford looked good in this competition until Dodson knocked him back to Ohio. It was a tough break for a talented guy. I suspect he will try to tie up Gaudinot in order to hamper his striking and then look for submissions when the opportunity presents itself. Gaudinot is no slouch but he's outsized here. As long as he's not dispatched within seconds of round 1, the UFC will keep his number for when the flyweight division gets going.

Winner: Johnny Bedford, Decision

Robert Winfree: Mini-Fitch takes on the green haired menace. Gadinot has the frame to fight at 125, and when the UFC introduces that division he'll probably make the cut. I think Bedford's wrestling, reach, and overall size will be a bit too much for Gadinot to overcome here.

Winner: Johnny Bedford, Decision

Jeffrey Harris: Gaudinot's size is going to put him at an extreme disadvantage for this fight, and I think it is one that is going to cost him. I see Bedford dominating this one and security the decision win. Gaudinot I suspect would be much better suited for the flyweight division if the UFC were to bring it in as Winfree suggested.

Winner: Johnny Bedford, Decision

Scott Kuczkowski: The big chink in Bedford's armor is his submission defense, but since Gadinot hasn't ever submitted anyone I somehow doubt that will be a factor. Bedford will be the bigger, more experienced fighter, so I think he'll control things until he gets it to the ground and finishes Gadinot.

Winner: Johnny Bedford, Submission, Round 2.

Alex Watt: Louis Gaudinot, like John Dodson, is an example of a highly accomplished flyweight competing above his natural weight class in order to secure a contract with the UFC. He put up a fantastic fight against the larger Dustin Pague on the show but was ultimately overpowered by the larger fighter. Sadly I think that is what we will see happen in this fight too. Johnny Bedford was able to use his larger frame and wrestling skills to outwork Josh Ferguson on the show and it is likely that is the strategy he will use in this contest too. Gaudinot will have to use his speed and footwork to get inside and land powerful punches, as Dodson did, if he hopes to win this fight. I'm a fan of Gaudinot so I hope he can pull off the win here (and believe me, he will be a force when the UFC brings in the 125lbs division) but ultimately I believe Bedford will prove to be too big and too strong for him here.

Winner: Johnny Bedford, Decision

The staff picks Johnny Bedford, 7-0.

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Lightweight Bout: Tony Ferguson vs. Yves Edwards

Jonathan Solomon: Season 13 TUF winner Tony Ferguson returns to the octagon for the first time since breaking Aaron Riley's jaw in September. The former amateur wrestler has done nothing but display power in his last five fights including two in the UFC. MMA veteran Yves Edward will be giving up height and reach but he remains as versatile a fighter around. In October, he blasted Rafaello Oliveira with a head kick before finishing him with punches. However, he was victim to one of the most brutal knockouts of the year in June when Sam Stout finished their fight in the first round at UFC 131. This fight comes down to Ferguson having the better, and less damaged, chin in my book.

Winner: Tony Ferguson, TKO, Round 1

Stewart Lange: I really didn't buy into Tony Ferguson during or after his season of TUF, I even picked him to lose to Ramsay Nijem at their finale match up, but I'm man enough to say I was wrong, because Ferguson has looked like the most promising TUF winner in a while. Yves Edwards is a veteran and has a decent skill set, but I find it hard to see anything other that a pretty one-sided destruction by the TUF winner, adding another decent name to his win sheet.

Winner: Tony Ferguson, TKO, Round 1

Mark Radulich: Yves Edwards is being sacrificed to Tony Ferguson. I suspect that there are some in the UFC who have high hopes for Ferguson in particular and want him to be a player in the lightweight division over the course of the next few years. The other side of this is that if anyone is even going to begin to take Ferguson seriously he must make short work of a veteran fighter like the master of Thugjitsu, Yves Edwards.

Winner: Tony Ferguson, KO, Round 1.

Robert Winfree: Yves Edwards is a true veteran of MMA, and is 3-1 in his recent run in the UFC. Tony Ferguson broke Aaron Riley's jaw in his last fight, and clearly has some legitimate power in his hands. If Yves is to win this fight he'll have to get crafty, but I honestly think Ferguson uses this fight to further showcase that he means business here in the UFC.

Winner: Tony Ferguson, TKO Round 2

Jeffrey Harris: Yves Edwards is an extremely tough veteran, and he's the exact type of fight that Ferguson needs at this point in his career. Edwards is generally a gatekeeper type of fighter. Edwards has enjoyed a nice 3-1 run since his UFC return, but I see this fight going much like Edwards' recent knockout loss to Sam Stout. Ferguson has good wrestling and has really powerful striking. If he keeps this fight standing, I think he will be getting the knockout.

Winner: Tony Ferguson, TKO, Round 2

Scott Kuczkowski: Yves is a veteran and a tough fighter, but I think Tony will be too strong and too big for him. I see Tony opening up with his strikes until he can take Yves down. Yves is no slouch wherever this fight goes, but I think Tony's strength will keep him out of trouble while he gets the TKO win.

Winner: Tony Ferguson, TKO, Round 1.

Alex Watt: This is the one non-TUF 14 related fight on the card and it is another great piece of matchmaking. Both Ferguson and Edwards are exciting strikers and it is there where you would expect the majority of the fight to take place. Edwards is a flashier striker than Ferguson (jumping head kick to Josh Thomson anyone?) but Ferguson is much tighter with his boxing. Ferguson has looked fantastic since transitioning into the UFC whilst Edwards, despite being the veteran, is still a little bit hit and miss. I think this will be thrilling while it lasts, but I have to favour TUF 13 winner Ferguson and his heavy hands.

Winner: Tony Ferguson, TKO, Round 2

The staff picks Tony Ferguson, 7-0.

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Bantamweight Bout: TJ Dillashaw vs. John Dodson

Jonathan Solomon: T.J. Dillashaw has the prototypical strong collegiate wrestling background that transfers so well to MMA. John Dodson is also a wrestler but has shown dynamic counter striking while fighting above his natural weight (flyweight). It's clear that Dodson has one punch knockout power and it has to be a concern for Dillashaw. At the same time, his takedowns are so effective, if he wants to go to the ground he should have no problems. He is the more powerful fighter which should allow him to control the fight on the ground. For Dodson to win, he will need to defend takedowns constantly and take advantage of Dillashaw's stand-up. However, T.J. showed continuous improvements in that department during the season of TUF so I'm not sure, pending an unforeseen knockout, how Dodson wins.

Winner: T.J. Dillashaw, Decision

Stewart Lange: I'm pretty undecided on this one. On one hand, we have the "Alpha Male" product TJ Dillashaw taking on John Dodson. Now, Dillashaw entered the house with more hype than anybody, so maybe it's because of that I've not been as impressed with him as I should be. John Dodson however, has impressed me so despite TJ having the wrestling base and great training background, I'm picking Dodson for the knockout upset, possibly for no reason other than I think it's going to be a pretty close fight.

Winner: John Dodson, TKO, Round 2

Mark Radulich: I'm fairly certain Dodson's personality and frequent uttering of the phrase, "If you ain't cheating, you ain't trying," did not win him a ton fans this past season. However, nearly decapitating Bedford was a good start at winning them back. However, he's got his hands full with Team Alpha Male fighter and bantamweight prospect TJ Dillashaw. Much like the Bedford/Gaudinot fight, Dillashaw will use his wrestling to dominate the little pugilist, effectively cutting Dodson's greatest weapon, his striking. I don't think Dodson will be submitted but I suspect he will have nothing for Dillashaw's wrestling.

Winner: TJ Dillashaw, Decision

Robert Winfree: John Dodson is one of the best flyweight's in the country, and bulked up to 135 to get into the UFC here. He's got serious power in his hands, and some very good counter striking ability. That said, Dillashaw is a powerful wrestler who will have a size advantage over Dodson. Dodson could certainly catch Dillashaw and put him out, but I can't pick against Dillashaw here with his wrestling.

Winner: TJ Dillashaw, Decision

Jeffrey Harris: Dodson will have had the greater amount of fights and experience going into this one, but let's not take the fairly new prospect TJ Dillashaw lightly. Dillashaw was a top level collegiate amateur wrestler and he's still undefeated thus far in his MMA career. Dillashaw trains with a tremendous camp in Team Alpha Male who have produced top contenders and former champions such as Joseph Benavidez, Urijah Faber, and Chad Mendes who is next up to get a shot at the featherweight title. Dillashaw has finished three out of four of his fights so far, so he is potentially dangerous. Dillashaw will use his size and strength to control and take where this fight goes and get the UFC contract.

Winner: TJ Dillashaw, Decision

Scott Kuczkowski: While Dodson was impressive on the show, I think the size disadvantage will be too much for him in this bout. Dodson will need to keep this fight on the feet in order to have a chance, but I think TJ is going to be able to take him down and hold him there as long as he likes. Dillishaw is a great wrestler, which he's going to need to grind out this decision win. There is always the chance Dodson could score a lucky punch, but I think TJ should take this.

Winner: TJ Dillashaw, Decision.


Alex Watt: These two men were definitely the most gifted of the 135lbs fighters for this season; both are unorthodox strikers, well rounded, and possess the much needed killer instinct. Dillashaw probably goes into the fight as the slight favourite in most people's eyes since he will possess a serious height and reach advantage and is a more natural bantamweight. Dodson however despite being small and a natural 125-pounder, should not be overlooked. After all, the man is a top 15 (if not top 10) ranked flyweight for a reason.

Dillashaw will want to use his reach advantage to keep Dodson on the outside before shooting for takedowns and working from top position. However keeping Dodson down will be no easy task as his scrambling ability is top notch. Dodson will want to keep the fight standing and look to work his way inside and use his fast hands to land combinations on the chin of Dillashaw. TJ has a great submission game and will most likely look to finish Dodson on the ground, if he can keep him there.

This is a real pick-‘em fight. Both are supremely talented fighters with skills in all areas so this fight could go either way. Personally, I find myself leaning towards Dodson as I think Dillashaw will be unable to keep him on the ground for any significant period of time and Dodson will be able to use his speed to consistently land combinations. Expect this one to go the distance in a thrilling affair.

Winner: John Dodson, Decision

The staff picks TJ Dillashaw, 5-2.

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Featherweight Bout: Dennis Bermudez vs. Diego Brandao

Jonathan Solomon: A division-I wrestler, former lightweight in Dennis Bermudez against a wild striker and BJJ black belt in Diego Brandao. That's essentially how this match-up breaks down to. Bermudez fought in the Shine Fights lightweight grand prix last year, beating Shannon Gugerty before being choked out by Drew Fickett in the same night. He last fought last November, again, being choked out by a prospect in Jordan Rinaldi. His game revolves around using his power to secure takedowns and dominate positioning on the ground. Enter Brandao, he's 13-7 and as talented as he was shown to be during the TUF season, you can understand why. He's so wild and has that balls to the wall style down that it can also be his undoing. With that said, he has amazing knockout power and a ferocious killer instinct. He has been training with Greg Jackson's Team for some time, so perhaps game planning is something that will come in the future. Bermudez may be strong, but I don't see him being able to contend with Brandao's attack. If he can push the fight into the second round or beyond, the tilt turns in his favor. Bermudez should have no problems fighting towards a decision while Brandao is known to gas.

Winner: Diego Brandao, KO, Round 1

Stewart Lange: Speaking of people who have impressed me this season, we have Diego. I realise most of us will be picking Diego but come on, the guy is a beast. His pro record is......poor, but with a Team Jackson camp behind him, he could actually become a seriously talented version of Leonard Garcia. Dennis has looked good as well, but this is Brandao's fight to lose at this point. Look for Bermudez to try and take the fight down, but don't expect Diego to stay there for very long, if he even succeeds.

Winner: Diego Brandao, KO, Round 2

Mark Radulich: Dennis Bermudez will be joining Bedford in Ohio. As I said this past Sunday on the 411 Ground and Pound Radio show, Brandao strikes like a missile. His kicks that he employed against Bryan Caraway looked like they were bending the man's legs in half. I'm surprised he could walk when it was over. People have called Brandao a nutcase but that has nothing to do with the man's ability to kill bitches dead fight like a champ. This is a no brainer. Jose Aldo better hope this guy gets brought up slowly or he retires before Brandao gets his shot.

Winner: Diego Brandao, KO, Round 1

Robert Winfree: Diego Brandao is the wild child of this season. He got pissed off for no apparent reason, and fights like an absolute maniac. Bermudez is a solid wrestler, so we may see just how much of Brandao's jui-jitsu has transitioned to MMA in his fight. This fight will go one of two ways, Brandao by quick knock out or Bermudez by decision after weathering the early storm. It's too hard to pick against Brandao though.

Winner: Diego Brandao, TKO Round 1

Jeffrey Harris: I realize a lot of people are high on Brandao right now because of his run on The Ultimate Fighter. However, the show has misled us before to think that some fighters were true talents but then turned out to be big disappointments such as Phillipe Nover. Brandao certainly looked impressive so far in the show, but I think Bermudez is pretty underrated and has ways to win this fight. Bermudez will be looking to get this to the ground and I think he will have no problem outwrestling Brandao at all. Bermudez takes this one to get the other UFC contract.

Winner: Diego Brandao, Decision

Scott Kuczkowski: Diego looks like he's the hungriest fighter to come out of this competition, and I think that has gotten in the heads of the other competitors, to include Bermudez. Bermudez's best bet will be to take Diego down and work some ground and pound, but I think he's going to have a tough time doing that. Diego in the meantime will be throwing crazy strikes and putting all sorts of pressure on Bermudez. In the end I see Diego catching Bermudez and finishing him with strikes.

Winner: Diego Brandao, TKO, Round 2.


Alex Watt: Brandao has been the stand-out 145-er on this season with his great Muay Thai skills, relentless pressure and scary killer instinct. As Dana White has said (at least 100 times) "Diego is nasty." Bermudez is no slouch though as he offers good striking, great conditioning and, most importantly, fantastic wrestling.

The key for Bermudez is weathering the early storm that Diego will bring and trying to take this fight past the first round. If Bermudez can take the fight to the ground and pin Brandao down, avoiding his jiu-jitsu skills, then he may be able to wear the Brazilian down and take this into the second and third rounds where Diego may be there for the taking. It's no secret what Brandao will want to do in this fight; he will come out aggressive in the first round and throw every punch, elbow, knee and kick with bad intentions. He showed great takedown defence against Team Alpha Male's Bryan Caraway and if he can continue that into this fight then he should be able to dominate. Bermudez showed a good chin in his contest with Akira Corassani getting caught flush several times but remaining composed under pressure. Nevertheless, Brandao possesses more power than Akira and if he catches Bermudez flush then the American will be in trouble.

Although Bermudez can win this fight by using his wrestling skills and keeping Brandao on the outside, it is tough to see this going any other way than one. Diego Brandao will put the pressure on Bermudez from the very start of the fight and with his heavy hands and killer instinct this should be over before the conclusion of round one. Diego takes it by knockout.

Winner: Diego Brandao, KO, Round 1

The staff picks Diego Brandao, 7-0.

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Middleweight Bout: Michael Bisping (#7 MW) vs. Jason Miller

Jonathan Solomon: For all the hype this fight has received on Spike TV over the past few months, it's a weird match-up stylistically. Michael Bisping doesn't do anything extremely well (he's not a great grappler, nor is he a knockout artist) while Mayhem Miller is best known for his grappling skills. However, Bisping is a technically sound striker who can hurt his opponents over time with a quantity of strikes. Since 2009, he's knocked out two opponents. He was rocked by Dennis Kang but persevered to come back and finish him in the second round with strikes. Infamously, this past February he landed an illegal knee against Jorge Rivera which led to the end of that fight in the second round. He has solid takedown defense and has only been knocked out once, by Dan Henderson. For Jason Miller, over half of his 24 career wins have come by submission. The problem for him is no matter what's been said, can he hurt Bisping standing? I'm not certain. Unless he hurts him standing, how is he going to get the fight to the ground and work towards a submission? I'm not a big believer in how well his takedowns can work and I doubt we'll see him pull guard from the clinch or something relatable. The point is, unless Bisping gets knocked the F out, he's the more well-rounded fighter of the two.

Winner: Michael Bisping, Decision

Stewart Lange: I'm pretty pumped up for this fight but in my excitement, I realised I actually don't know as much as I'd like to about Mayhem Miller. Sure, I watch his fights but I don't really know how he'll cope with Bisping. He shouldn't be able to strike with him and while he will be better on the ground, I'm just not sure how successful he'll be in getting it there. With all that said though, I do think this is a step up for Michael Bisping after his last few fights. He hasn't looked fantastic since his loss to Dan Henderson, so it'll be interesting to see how he copes. I don't mind how this fight ends as long as it's an exciting one, but I'll hang my hat with the Brit as I know you all love it when I do that.

Winner: Michael Bisping, Decision

Mark Radulich: Life isn't fair. We'd all like to see Anderson Silva go to England and throw Michael Bisping the worst beating of his life but unfortunately, that just isn't in the cards. Bisping will succumb to Millers superior grappling after having his will broken for the first two rounds. He won't be able to KO Mayhem and we won't be able to control him and that will shake his confidence. In the end he will be made a fool. It's only a matter of time.

Winner: Jason Miller, Submission, Round 3

Robert Winfree: Well this should be interesting. Rumor has it the winner of this fight will fight Chael Sonnen for the number one contender spot first quarter of next year. I don't think either man could get by Sonnen, but that's a different story. Michael Bisping should take this fight folks. I hate typing that out, because I do hate Bisping, but I think he does. His takedown defense is actually very good, and from the bottom he has good hip escapes and scrambling. Miller must get this fight to the ground to win, because standing he isn't as refined as Bisping. At the end of the day I think Bisping moves backwards a bunch and pillow fists punches at Miller to take an uninspired decision.

Winner: Michael Bisping, Decision

Jeffrey Harris: This is an interesting fight. I think Miller is good and has ways he can win, but I don't think he will. Bisping has pretty good takedown defense and I think he's good enough on the ground so where he won't be in trouble with Miller's jiu-jitsu. Even Rashad Evans had a tough time taking Bisping down and keeping him on his back for three rounds. Bisping doesn't pack a ton of power in his strikes, but he is the better counter-striker than Mayhem and he's also got the superior ground and pound I'd say. I see Bisping picking his shots and staying on the outside of Miller as well as stuffing the shots and defending Mayhem's submission attempts.

Winner: Michael Bisping, Decision

Scott Kuczkowski: I see the majority of his fight being contested on the feet. I think Bisping will use his speed and footwork to outpoint Miller and force him to get sloppy with his striking. Miller may try to take things to the ground, but I think Bisping's takedown defense is good enough to keep this fight on the feet. The only finish I can predict would be Miller submitting Bisping, and since I don't see that happening, I think Bisping will take the unanimous decision.

Winner: Michael Bisping, Decision.

Alex Watt: As ever, I've written an extended preview of this fight in the latest edition of Thoughts From Across The Pond. Check that out on the main page for my extended thoughts on this one. Here is my conclusion from that article:

So, as stated, this could ultimately be a case of who can keep the fight where they are most comfortable. If "Mayhem" can take the fight to the ground then he has a great chance of pulling off the win here. However, with Bisping's striking skills and fantastic sprawl, the Brit has to be favoured in this contest. Miller will put up a great fight but Bisping should finish the American with strikes before the conclusion of the third round.

Winner: Michael Bisping, TKO, Round 3

The staff picks Michael Bisping, 6-1.

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