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The Weekly MMA CrapSHOOT 06.20.08: TUF Finale Approaches!
Posted by Fredrick Peterson on 06.20.2008



Welcome back to another low fat edition of the MMA Weekly CrapSHOOT!


After another week we had plenty more MMA to keep us happy. The episode of TUF was especially exciting. The next few weeks give us some UFC to look forward to, followed by the debut of AFFLICTION.



Dana's Big Announcement:


Well, Dana's big announcement turned out to be no more than a behind the scenes move. While it was a huge move for the internal workings of the UFC it does not make an immediate impact on the fans. Regardless of the announcement fans would have been upset unless it was really something unbelievable.

I am glad Dana didn't go back on his statements and announce something that he already denied. Hopefully this decision gets the UFC moving stronger and hopefully they can make enough money to sign all of the best fighters in the world.

UFC Fight Night Vs. Affliction:



So we have two great MMA cards on one day to choose from. Which one will you choose? One is free and the other is forty bucks. One has the number one pound for pound fighter in the world while the other has the former number one pound for pound.

The UFC card looks like fun. I am always excited to see Anderson "the Spider" Silva to fight and this will be the first time in a long while. Also the Hermes Franca/ Frankie Edgar fight should be a treat for the fans. I am also to see Anthony Johnson fight again.
Is this card good enough for me to pass up Affliction?

Short answer, No. While I will catch this event on my DVR I will be watching the live AFFLICTION PPV. I am extremely excited to see Fedor fight live for the first time. I really think that Big Tim may actually give him a real fight. I am also pumped to see Rothwell vs. Arlovski. I have also never seen Lindland or Josh Barnett fight live. This really has to be the best MMA card of all time.


Final Episode of the Ultimate Fighter:



Holy shit! Dana did not disappoint with this episode. While everyone guessed it would be Jesse kicked off the show it was pretty sad to see it actually happen. It really sucks for Amir that he will have to fight CB again. He was pretty lucky to get the arm bar the first time and I don't see CB making the same mistake twice. Both of CB's fights though were extremely exciting this week.

Amir's best chance in the finale is to hope that CB gets tired again and that he can stay off the ground. Amir has limitless energy and doesn't look like he can get knocked out. If he and Forrest work on his sprawl he may be able to win this second fight by knockout. I am pretty sure that CB will not be able to finish Amir but will most likely win if the fight goes to a decision.




CRAPSHOOT:

Rules: Each week I will be looking at the odds on all the upcoming fights. I have 500 to spend on each event. I can spend under 500 but never more. Picks may be placed from either Bodog or BetUS odds. A pick can be locked in early for desirable odds. Once a pick is made it cannot be removed unless a fighter is pulled. A running Tally will be scored to keep track of all wins and losses.

Remember that odds are calculated off 100. A positive number indicates that 100 down would yield whatever the positive number is plus the hundred you spent. A negative number indicates the amount you would have to put down to win 100.

(BD = BoDog, BU = BetUS)


And the Losing streak continues! Damn you Yves Edwards!

Odds for Ulitimate Figher Finals 6.21.08

Matt Riddle -240 (BD)
Dante Rivera +190 (BD)

Why is Riddle favored by so much?

Tim Credeur -360 (BD)
Cale Yarbough 2180 (BD)

Matt Arroyo -150 (BD)
Matt Brown +120 (BD)

I love Matt Brown but I think Matt Arroyo is going to take this.

Rob Kimmons -150 (BD)
Rob Yudnt +120 (BD)

Another fight with both guys having the same first name.

Diego Sanchez -500 (BD) -500 (BU)
Luigi Fioravanti +350 (BD) -350 (BU)

No change.

Spencer Fisher -220 (BD) -200 (BU)
Jeremy Stevens +180 (BD) +160 (BU)

Eh.

Josh Burkman -200 (BD) -220 (BU)
Dustin Hazelett +160 (BD) +175 (BU)

Got nothing.

Marvin Eastman EVEN (BD) +105 (BU)
Drew McFedries -130 (BD) -135 (BU)

No odds change here.

Jeremy Horn -140 (BD) -120 (BU)
Dean Lister +110 (BD) -110 (BU)

Already have Dean.

Evan Tanner -190(BD) -185 (BU)
Kendall Grove +160 (BD) +145 (BU)

Yuck


Odds for UFC 86: 7.8.08

Marcus Aurelio +250 (BU)
Tyson Griffin -350 (BU)

Tyson should crush.

Patrick Cote -120 (BD) -125 (BU)
Ricardo Almeida -110 (BD) -105 (BU)

Close fight.

Joe Stevenson -215(BD) -220 (BU)
Gleison Tibau +175 (BD) +175 (BU)

Joe should take this.

Josh Koscheck -315 (BD) -350 (BU)
Chris Lytle +240 (BD) -250 (BU)

I hate Koscheck but I think he's gonna win.

Jorge Gurgel -120 (BD) -110 (BU)
Cole Miller -110 (BD) -120 (BU)

Another close call.

Quniton Jackson -260(BD) -260 (BU)
Forrest Griffin +200 (BD) +200 (BU)

Go Forrest!


New Picks:

Ultimate Fighter Finals 6.21.08


100 on Marvin Eastman at +105 (BU) 6.19.08

150 on Matt Arroyo at -150 (BD) 6.19.08

50 on Dante Rivera +190 (BD) 6.19.08

Previous Picks:

Ultimate Fighter Finals 6.21.08
110 on Dean Lister +110 (BD) 6.05.08 (this is to win 121)

Totals:

Elite XC 6.14.08
Credits Bet: 300
Possible Gain: 150
Loss: 300 on Yves Edwards

Dream 4: 6.15.08
Credits Bet: 100
Possible Gain: 110
Gain: 110 on Manhoef


OVERALL WINNINGS (Or LOSSES): -827.5
UFC 83: +50 (losses on Serra & Lutter, win with Macdonald)
UFC 84: -200 (Losses on Sherk & Jardine, win with Machida)
EliteXC, 5.31.08: -105 (Loss on Baroni, SCRAP with Smith)
WEC 34: +100 (Win with Faber)
UFC 85: -482.5 (Losses on Vera, Marquardt, Davis, and Hughes) OUCH!!!!
Elite XC 6.14.08: -300 (Loss on Edwards)
Dream 4: +110 (Win with Manhoef)


I'm not even gonna comment…

As Always The One FP


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Comments (2)

 
Will the TUF-Finale prelims be shown anywhere, except possibly during the broadcast itself?

Posted By: PaulOrndorff (Guest)  on June 20, 2008 at 02:16 PM

 
 
Haha, nice new picks.

Posted By: Guest#8805 (Guest)  on June 22, 2008 at 01:33 PM

 


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