411's 2014 Oscar Roundtable Preview: Predictions & More!
Posted by Chad Webb on 03.01.2014
Will 12 Years a Slave take home Best Picture? Will Matthew McConaughey claim his first Best Actor win for Dallas Buyers Club? Who will win Best Director? The 411 staff takes a look in their Oscar roundtable preview!
2014 Movie-Zone Oscar Roundtable
Here we are again folks with this year's Oscar roundtable. Last year Ben Piper won. This year has a lot of strong contenders, combined with a bunch of wild card categories. Who knows what will happen? Without further ado, take a look at the picks!
Our contributors: Michael Weyer, Terry Lewis, Leonard Hayhurst, Jeremy Wilson, Tony Farinella, Jeremy Thomas, John Dotson, Ben Piper, and yours truly.
Best Picture 12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street
Dallas Buyers Club
Michael Weyer: "12 Years a Slave." A real tight race here as "12 Years" has push for its message while "Gravity" was a fantastic technical achievement. "Hustle" may get a late surge but basically between those two. In the end, I see the Academy deciding to award the message film over the one with great visuals but okay story as "12 Years" ends up taking it.
Terry Lewis: "Dallas Buyers Club" - Really tough year with some amazing candidates and there's four in with a shout to but have to go for Dallas Buyers Club. Critically acclaimed, a great lead, awesome support and fairly moving, DBC may not be the most obvious choice, but I feel it's most interesting one this year.
Hayhurst:12 Years a Slave This is the closest Oscar race in some time with 12 Years a Slave, Gravity and American Hustle all having a legitimate shot at taking best picture. With that being the case, I say go chalk. Slave was the early frontrunner and should still have enough momentum to take it. Gravity and Hustle were more mainstream and, because of that, I can see splitting the same pocket of votes.
Wilson: "12 Years a Slave" It's been a pretty competitive group of races this year, none moreso than Best Picture, However, a pattern has emerged and it's one I think will end up carrying the day come Oscar night. At the Golden Globes, Critics Choice, PGA/DGA and BAFTA, Alfonso Cuaron won Best Director and Gravity won a slew of below-the-line awards, but 12 Years a Slave carried the day as Best Picture (actually sharing the award with Gravity at PGA). The Academy isn't always looking to reward the film they love most or the film they think is the absolute best. More times than not, they name a Best Picture winner they believe represents them best and fits as a consensus choice. Not every Academy voter will love 12 Years, but nearly everybody acknowledges its achievement and I think it will narrowly edge out Gravity (the AMPAS has long turned its nose up at fantasy/sci-fi and commercial films) at the end of the day.
Jeremy Thomas:12 Years a Slave. It must be said that this is a painfully close year for a lot of awards and I won't feel bad at all if I have a poor record this time around. But I am at least moderately confident here, and I couldn't be happier if it won as I honestly feel it was the best film of the year. Its closest competition is obviously Gravity, as American Hustle's star has faded and the rest of the films don't really have a chance. However, the momentum 12 Years is riding can't be discounted and while I can just hear Armond White preparing his epic rant about it, I think this one takes it this year.
Tony Farinella: "12 Years a Slave". 12 Years a Slave just has the look and feel of Best Picture. It's the kind of film that the Academy loves and really gets behind as it is about something and truly packs an emotional punch. I know it is cliché to say this, but it truly has been a spectacular year for movies. I'd be happy with any number of these films winning, but 12 Years a Slave is the film that I just keep coming back to when looking at the list. My gut tells me to stick with it.
John Dotson: "12 Years a Slave" - I may be wrong, but I have a feeling we're going to see another year where the Best Picture and Best Director differ in films. The Best Picture of course given to 12 Years a Slave for such a remarkably powerful and emotional film, and the Best Director to Alfonso Cuaron for his brilliantly technically charged picture, Gravity. This is Ben Affleck and Ang Lee all over again.
Ben Piper: 12 Years A Slave. The slavery tale has long been seen and considered as the frontrunner. However, some pundits are making a case that Gravity has overtaken it in the eyes of many Academy members. Considering that the last big effects movie that took home best picture was Return Of The King (and that are more a reward for Peter Jackson bringing the trilogy successfully to the big screen), coupled with the fact that this is the same stodgy old Academy we're talking about, they'll reward the "prestige" picture with a message.
Webb:12 Years a Slave. Not quite my favorite film of the year, but definitely among the best. Unfortunately I think this will be a year where the Best Director and Best Picture are different, which I hate, but that's another debate for another day. This is a close race, so anything could happen. It's either this or Gravity.
Bruce Dern -- Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor -- 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey -- Dallas Buyers Club
Leonardo DiCaprio -- The Wolf of Wall Street
Christian Bale -- American Hustle
Michael Weyer: Leonardo DiCaprio, "Wolf of Wall Street." I know, McConaughey has a lot of awards already and has reinvented himself. But I think his past of goofy antics and poor films will work against him with numerous voters. Ejiofor might get a late push but I think the Academy decides it's finally time to honor a great actor and star and so DiCaprio will get the gold.
Terry Lewis: Matthew McConaughey -- "Dallas Buyers Club" - Again, another tough year but McCounaughey just does it for me with his showing in this.
Hayhurst: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club. From playing bongos naked to one of the best actors going today, McConaughey has put out some amazing performances the past year or so. He's got the SAG and the Golden Globe, so the Oscar seems certain. Chiwetel Ejiofor could be the spoiler and I never count out the geezer vote, which would go to Bruce Dern.
Wilson: Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club" For weeks now, I've been trying to find a rationale that makes sense to me to pick anybody other than McConaughey. I don't have anything against him personally, it's just that his Oscar-bait-y star turn in Dallas Buyers Club wasn't my favorite from a film I didn't think much of. I'm also not as quick to immediately reward him for an admittedly great couple of years that have thoroughly transformed his career. If we gave every actor an Oscar for not making any more Ghosts of Girlfriends Pasts and Fool's Golds, we'd be handing out a hell of a lot more statues. When I first saw 12 Years a Slave, I was sure that Ejiofor would be the frontrunner and win. Yet, here we are months later and except for an expected BAFTA win on home soil (in a field missing frontrunner McConaughey) there has just never been much momentum for the talented Brit. A number of years ago, Bruce Dern's "turn" and career might have been a more serious contender, but that rationale has gotten less traction in recent years. Finally, Leonardo DiCaprio's career-best performance in Martin Scorsese's The Wolf of Wall Street has had some calling for an upset (especially after years many more than McConaughey of Academy snubs. However, I'm not sure Golden Globe and Critics' Choice awards for Actor in a Comedy are enough, especially with a sizable faction of AMPAS voters absolutely hating Wolf. As a result, McConaughey wins.
Jeremy Thomas: Matthew McConaughey -- "Dallas Buyers Club". And no one deserves it more. I would like to see DiCaprio win as he's "due" and Wolf of Wall Street was his best performance to date, and Chiwotel Ejiofor was my early pick for his phenomenal work in 12 Years but the run of critical regard that McConaughey has been on over the last year or two can't be denied. McConaughey was incredible in his performance here and he'll win for this one, putting an end to a thousand jokes of "Three words that don't belong in the same sentence: Matthew McConaughey Oscar."
Tony Farinella: Matthew McConaughey -- "Dallas Buyers Club". Much like Cuaron in the role as director, McConaughey had to go through the most in his role as an actor in Dallas Buyers Club. It is more than the physical transformation, which is incredible in it of itself; it is the heart and humanity that is at the surface of this complicated man. We truly care for him and root for him, which isn't always easy when he is being a racist or homophobic. Hopefully, now, people truly start to look at him as the incredible actor that he is and probably always has been. He just hasn't gotten the chance to show it to us.
John Dotson: Matthew McConaughey -- "Dallas Buyers Club" - McConaughey is the comeback kid at the moment and appears as the lead choice in the category. I'd be shocked if he walks away empty handed after achieving this type of role. That said, if Leonardo DiCaprio surprisingly beats him out, I'm not complaining. That award to Leo is long overdue.
Ben Piper: Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club. While Chitowel Ejiofor has an outside shot, I think Mr. Shirtless will be rewarded for his transformative performance in the role, as well as his recent career resurgence.
Webb: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club. I loved McConaughey in this film and am very grateful he has amped up the quality of his roles, but he should have to fight for it a bit longer. Plus, I thought Leo was better. He needs to be given a damn statue. This was one of his best performances anyhow. Still, do the math, McConaughey has won just about everything. No brainer.
Amy Adams -- American Hustle
Cate Blanchett -- Blue Jasmine
Judi Dench -- Philomena
Sandra Bullock -- Gravity
Meryl Streep -- August: Osage County
Michael Weyer: Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine" It's tempting to think Adams gets votes for her fifth nomination in eight years. But come on, does anyone truly believe Blanchett snags just about every award and not get the Oscar now? Nope, me neither.
Terry Lewis: Judi Dench -- "Philomena" - I feel there's a bit of an outsider floating around the awards to score, so I'm going to plum for my fellow Brit.
Hayhurst: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine. My personal pick here all day long is Amy Adams. Just watch the scene in American Hustle where she goes in and out of her British accent as she breaks down not knowing who she is and what they should do and tell me she doesn't deserve the Oscar. She'll get one eventually, but the Academy doesn't think they owe her yet. Blanchett has all the preliminary wins and most experts consider her a lock.
Wilson: Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine" This might have been a different race if Blanchett had any sort of serious competition. However, she's been considered the overwhelming favorite since Blue Jasmine came out and it does feel like Hollywood wants to give her another Oscar, this time in a lead category many probably thought she already had. Plus, whatever one thinks of Woody Allen, his record of female stars taking home Academy Awards for performances in his films is remarkable. Blanchett winning would make it six.
Jeremy Thomas: Cate Blanchett -- "Blue Jasmine". I still don't think this is as close as people seem to think. Which isn't a swipe at Blanchett, but the Academy has known to be shy from controversy before and the Woody Allen debacle could well hurt her (especially since there was no chance he's winning for Original Screenplay). That being said, Blanchett did turn in the best performance. Amy Adams is a solid second, while Bullock's work in carrying Gravity will be lost behind the technical merits. And August: Osage County and Willamina (sorry, Philomena) are dead in the water in terms of awards.
Tony Farinella: Cate Blanchett -- "Blue Jasmine". I loved this movie and I loved her performance. I wrote about it earlier this week on 411mania.com, but she is basically playing two characters in one. She has to be the rich and high class woman who is swept off her feet by Alec Baldwin and she also has to play the anxious, poor, and emotional woman who has nothing. She does it all with relative ease. It's a great performance in a really good movie.
John Dotson: Cate Blanchett -- "Blue Jasmine" - I have yet to see the film, but from everything I've been told there is very little room to doubt Blanchett as the winner of this category.
Ben Piper: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine. This one's a lock.
Webb: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine. Blanchett was great, though I personally would give the nod to Bullock, or Adele from Blue is the Warmest Color, but she isn't nominated so Blanchett.
Best Supporting Actor
Barkhad Abdi -- Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper -- American Hustle
Jonah Hill -- The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto -- Dallas Buyers Club
Michael Fassbender -- 12 Years a Slave
Michael Weyer: Jared Leto, "Dallas Buyers Club" There may be a late push for Fassbender or Abdi but Leto is clearly in the lead, the kind of performance voters love to go for and should earn him that trophy on Oscar night.
Terry Lewis: Michael Fassbender -- "12 Years a Slave" - No competition. I feel Abdi maybe the safe vote but Fassbender's superb work deserve recognition here.
Hayhurst: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club. That part has Oscar bait all over it. If you look at the other contenders it's either not strong enough character parts or not strong enough actors. Hard to imagine Hill and Cooper are multiple time nominees now.
Wilson: Jared Leto, "Dallas Buyers Club" The second of two Oscar-bait-y performances from Dallas Buyers Club, Like Blanchett, Leto hasn't had much serious competition and has won nearly every major award he was up for (Dallas Buyers Club hadn't premiered in Britain in time for BAFTA). I would have loved to have seen how this race would have played out had Bruce Dern moved down to Supporting, but alas, that's reserved for "what if" scenarios we'll debate in the years to come. There's surprisingly been no real push for Fassbender (he'll undoubtedly be back) and it would be a major upset if BAFTA winner Barkhad Abdi won, when neither Tom Hanks or Paul Greengrass were nominated. It's Leto's to lose.
Jeremy Thomas: Jared Leto -- "Dallas Buyers Club". This is a field of nominees that would be exceedingly difficult to choose from any year but this one, because Jared Leto absolutely blew people away (and rightly so) as Rayon. Doubters can gripe about how they're "voting for the role and not the actor" all they want, but that's just a backhanded swipe at Leto who was stunningly good. Cooper, Abdi, Fassbender and Hill all did great work, don't get me wrong. But this is completely Leto's year.
Tony Farinella: Jared Leto -- "Dallas Buyers Club". Leto is getting a ton of buzz for this role and I really don't see anyone else winning this award. Again, the Academy is nothing if not predictable and they seem to get behind physical transformations and actors going through extremes for a particular role. Leto also adds some much needed humor to a film that is pretty dark at times. He's a scene stealer.
John Dotson: Jared Leto -- "Dallas Buyers Club" - I'm almost certain this award is a guaranteed lock, especially after the SAG win and many others. Plus, it's a terrific performance and Leto nearly disappears into the role. If he wins, it'd be much deserved.
Ben Piper: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club. See above.
Webb: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club. Yes, this is an Oscar bait performance. Looked at on its own makes that stick out like a sore thumb, but Leto was indeed fantastic and I'll be happy to see him get the award. He doesn't act all the time, but when he does he goes method hardcore and it is evident that he wants this badly. He's an excellent talent. This is an obvious one too.
Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Lawrence -- American Hustle
Lupita Nyong'o -- 12 Years a Slave
June Squibb -- Nebraska
Julia Roberts -- August: Osage County
Sally Hawkins -- Blue Jasmine
Michael Weyer: Lupita Nyong'o, "12 Years a Slave" A really tight race here as Lawrence still has support and some may want to see her as a back-to-back winner while Hawkins can benefit from a vote split to win. But given how she's been wowing with both her performance and he red carpet style, I think Lupita takes it to solidify her great run for a fine entrance to film.
Terry Lewis: Jennifer Lawrence -- "American Hustle" - I'll admit I've not seen all the performances here but Lawrence was so good in Hustle, I can't see anyone else who has created a buzz like her.
Hayhurst: Lupita Nyong'o for 12 Years A Slave. This is Slave's best chance to win in one of the acting categories and it needs it to shore up a best picture win. Jennifer Lawrence won last year and most voters aren't going to give her back to back trophies, no matter how good they think she was.
Wilson: Lupita Nyong'o, "12 Years a Slave" Perhaps the closest of the non-Best Picture races, this has been swinging back and forth between Lupita Nyong'o and Jennifer Lawrence for months now. I was never on the Lawrence bandwagon for Oscar #2 (I love her otherwise), but I was equally skeptical about Lupita's chances...until she won SAG. Winning the biggest precursor award and knocking off Lawrence head-to-head was a big deal and truly made her the slight favorite. It's true that Lawrence won at this year's BAFTA, but she was beaten last year there by Emmanuelle Riva. This could easily be explained as the Brits' way of making up for last year. I think AMPAS voters will look to reward the new rising star and 12 Years, especially since there won't be as many chances to reward 12 Years as Gravity, especially now that the seeming heat behind Hustle has subsided.
Jeremy Thomas: Lupita Nyong'o -- "12 Years a Slave". Toughest one to pick. Nyong'o was unbelievable, but Jennifer Lawrence was too and her higher profile honestly might give her the win. Sally Hawkins has an outside chance that is hurt by the Allen mess, and Roberts and Squibb have no chance. It's basically a two-horse race and while my personal preference has them completely tied, I think that Nyong'o will take this one on sheer awards win momentum.
Tony Farinella: Lupita Nyong'o -- "12 Years a Slave". Lawrence is a Hollywood favorite, but I don't see her winning two in a row. However, she might start turning into a young Meryl Streep, where she is nominated just about every year. Since 12 Years a Slave is such a favorite, I think it will translate to a best supporting actress win for Lupita. There needs to be at least one acting win for the Best Picture of the year.
John Dotson: Lupita Nyong'o -- "12 Years a Slave" - I love me some Jennifer Lawrence, especially in regards to American Hustle, but this award clearly set for Lupita Nyong'o. Her performance was every bit as enthralling and emotional as Chiwetel Ejiofor, and for that a win by Lupita Nyong'o is completely justified.
Ben Piper: Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years A Slave. This is essentially a two woman race between Lawrence and newcomer Lupita Nyong'o. But considering Jennifer's young age (she'll be back here again) not to mention the fact she won just last year, I'm hedging my bets and going with the up and comer.
Webb: Lupita Nyong'o for 12 Years A Slave. Jennifer Lawrence is not far behind, but she is still behind. Nyong'o has won the majority and I have a feeling Oscar voters love her. She was good, don't get me wrong, but I would give this to Lawrence or someone else.
Steve McQueen -- 12 Years a Slave
David O. Russell -- American Hustle
Alfonso Cuaron -- Gravity
Alexander Payne -- Nebraska
Martin Scorsese -- The Wolf of Wall Street
Michael Weyer: "Alfonso Cuaron, "Gravity." McQueen will have push for "12 years" but Cuaron has the DGA award and no one else could have pulled off the fantastic visual work of "Gravity," so he gets the well-deserved award here.
Terry Lewis: Martin Scorsese -- "The Wolf of Wall Street" - I umm and arr between Scorsese and Cuaron but have to go with the man with pedigree. "Gravity" will clear up all effects awards though.
Hayhurst: Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity. I had my worst year ever picking in 2013. It's because I thought Argo had no shot at taking best picture without a best director win, which was impossible. The Academy has broken that notion and I'm going with them. Cuaron is getting all the buzz for his passion project and he's won the major preliminary awards, including the Golden Globe and DGA. Also look for Gravity to win the most Oscars overall.
Wilson: Alfonso Cuaron, "Gravity" It's really strange to be predicting a Best Picture / Best Director split, but in a wild, competitive year, it seems rather appropriate. Even those who don't love Gravity or think it's the greatest thing since sliced bread, can recognize the technical achievement and innovation at work on the screen. Cuaron is a fantastic filmmaker and is deserving of this Oscar.
Jeremy Thomas: Alfonso Cuaron -- "Gravity". Yep, we're gonna have another split. This doesn't happen that often but there is precedence and it even happened last year. Cuaron has been picking up the vast majority of the awards for his space disaster film and it's a well-deserved honor. McQueen could be a spoiler but at this point I rather doubt it; this one's sort of in the bag at this point.
Tony Farinella: Alfonso Cuaron -- "Gravity". What he accomplished with this film is truly amazing and he deserves this Oscar without a shadow of a doubt. It is hard not to be impressed and blown away by what he accomplished with this film. It was no easy task and took four and a half years to get made. It just doesn't seem right to give it to any of the other nominees, even though I greatly respect their individual work. I would also say that he had the hardest job out of all the directors in terms of the scope of this project.
John Dotson: Alfonso Cuaron -- "Gravity" -As I said in the previous blurb, Cuaron will most likely take home the prize, but there is a small chance Steve McQueen can pull an upset. As of right now though, it seems Cuaron is the clear frontrunner.
Ben Piper: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity. Much like last year when Ang Lee won for his efforts on Life Of Pi, Cuaron will be rewarded for bringing this stunning visual achievement to fruition.
Webb: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity. This is another battle between 12 Years a Slave and Gravity. I liked 12 Years a bit better, but it is not hard to see why Cuaron will win this. Every nominee is deserving of this award. It is very close and I'll be happy to see Cuaron win.
Best Original Screenplay American Hustle -- David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer Blue Jasmine -- Woody Allen Her -- Spike Jonze Nebraska -- Bob Nelson Dallas Buyers Club -- Craig Borten and Melisa Wallack
Michael Weyer: Spike Jonze, "Her." With the rising scandal no doubt costing him, Allen is out so that paves the way for Jonze to finally get it.
Terry Lewis: "Her" -- Spike Jonze - Magnificent film and I feel this is a deserved award for it to win. A brilliant natural script flows well on the big screen and this award reflects Her's strengths.
Hayhurst: "American Hustle" -- David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer. The screenplay categories serve two functions. One is to award the movie that the Academy likes, but doesn't have enough juice to take best picture or many other categories. Hustle is that movie this year. Many experts are saying Her, but I think it's too quirky and the voters are not going to let Hustle go home empty handed.
Wilson: David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer, "American Hustle" Spike Jonze is my favorite living filmmaker, so nothing would make me happier than to see him win this over the abysmal script from Russell (I don't know how much of Singer's original script remains in the finished version of Hustle). However, I'm in the minority on American Hustle; many consider it more of a serious Best Picture contender and will want to see it rewarded somewhere. This is probably its best chance to take home an Oscar, especially if Jennifer Lawrence loses. That said, whenever the Academy does feel the desire to reward creative, quirkier, critical darlings that may not be serious Best Picture contenders, this is where they tend to do it. Also, Jonze took home the Golden Globe, Critics Choice and Writers Guilds award, and since 1995, no film that has won all three has lost. Needless to say, this category is very close, but at the end of the day, I'd rather be pleasantly surprised by a win for Jonze and Her than kicking myself for not going with the film I know a sizable portion of the older AMPAS voters like and "get."
Jeremy Thomas: "American Hustle" -- David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer. This comes down to Hustle or Her and while I would like to see Spike Jonze win, I think that Hustle is going to take it because it's a more conventional piece. I love both scripts, and I love Her just a little bit more but I also don't believe that the Academy will shut Hustle out and this is frankly its best shot. Her did take the WGA Award, but I don't think the WGAs are predicting anything right this year.
Tony Farinella: "American Hustle" -- David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer. A lot has been said about American Hustle possibly sneaking in to win Best Picture, but I think it is much more likely to win this award. There is some great competition and I really enjoyed the screenplay for Nebraska, but American Hustle should walk away with this award.
John Dotson: David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer, "American Hustle" -- For "originality" sake, I'm hoping for a major upset by Spike Jonze's Her, but I have a feeling the Academy is going with David O. Russell this time. Either way, I'm completely happy with either outcome.
Ben Piper:American Hustle
Webb:Her - Spike Jonze
Best Adapted Screenplay 12 Years a Slave -- John Ridley Before Midnight -- Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke and Richard Linklater The Wolf of Wall Street -- Terence Winter Captain Phillips -- Billy Ray Philomena -- Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope
Michael Weyer: John Ridley, "12 Years a Slave."
Terry Lewis: "The Wolf of Wall Street" -- Terence Winter - I feel Wolf will pick up only a couple of nods and this is the other. Intriguing adaptation of Jordan Belfort with a touch of controversial yet a tonne of popular support.
Hayhurst: "12 Years a Slave" -- John Ridley. The other function of the screenplay categories is to legitimize the best picture winner. Argo took the category last year and it was crucial in setting up the best picture win.
Wilson: John Ridley, "12 Years a Slave" If 12 Years a Slave is to build a legitimate, realistic case for Best Picture, it needs to win this. And I'm fairly certain it will. Captain Phillips won the WGA, but that was partly due to 12 Years not being eligible due to Ridley's own issues with the Guild. Ironically, Ridley and Russell could win screenplay Oscars almost 15 years after butting heads over the credit for Three Kings.Captain Phillips and Philomena are legitimate contenders, but I think 12 Years takes it.
Jeremy Thomas: "12 Years a Slave" -- John Ridley. This is pretty much in the bag, although my vote would have gone to Before Midnight. Ridley's script does an amazing job of adapting Solomon Northup's memoir and gave the framework for which the cast and crew made one of the best films of the year. I think this is where it gets honored before its Best Picture win.
Tony Farinella: "12 Years a Slave" -- John Ridley. When listening to actors give interviews, they usually always talk about the script or screenplay being the thing that drew them to the project. Without it, there is no Best Picture award for 12 Years a Slave. The actors and the director are only as good as the material in front of them. They had some great material here to work with and it was adapted masterfully by John Ridley.
John Dotson: John Ridley, "12 Years a Slave" - With this being a sure bet for winning Best Picture, it should take home the scripting prize as well. Why it has taken so long to adapt this story is beyond me, but John Ridley did a fine job for writing Steve McQueen's intense vision.
Ben Piper:12 Years A Slave
Webb: John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
Best Animated Feature The Wind Rises
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
Michael Weyer: "Frozen." Without Pixar in the running, it's long past time a pure Disney hit takes the Oscar at last.
Terry Lewis: "Frozen" - I'd love Miyazaki-san to sign off with some deserved recognition for a career well done, but have horrible feeling yet another average Disney CGI fantasy flick will scoop it.
Hayhurst: Frozen. Frozen combines box office power with great animation to make it the clear winner in this category.
Wilson: "Frozen" This year there's no Pixar to contend against. While Miyazaki's stature and legacy might get The Wind Rises some support, the overwhelming critical and commercial success Frozen has been able to achieve is startling and should help it put this one in the bag.
Jeremy Thomas: "Frozen". And it's not even close. The Wind Rises is the only other one with even a breath of life in this race and that's more of a weak rasp. Frozen was the best animated film and it's going to easily beat out the rest of them.
Tony Farinella: "Frozen". It is never a wise idea to bet against Disney at the Oscars.
John Dotson: "Frozen" - Disney Animation had a huge year with Frozen, and with no Pixar in sight, I say all roads lead to them winning.
Ben Piper:Frozen. Disney's runaway hit will take home the gold.
Webb:Frozen. I would love to see Miyazaki win, but Disney's hit has this one in the bag.
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year The Hunt (Denmark)
The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
The Great Beauty (Italy)
Omar (Palestinian territories)
The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
Michael Weyer: "The Hunt"
Terry Lewis: "The Great Beauty" (Italy)
Hayhurst:"The Broken Circle Breakdown" (Belgium)
Wilson: "The Great Beauty" (Italy)
Jeremy Thomas: "The Great Beauty" (Italy). That Blue is the Warmest Colour was ineligible because it missed the cutoff by a week is insane. Anyway, Great Beauty is very, very likely to take this one home.
Tony Farinella: "The Great Beauty" (Italy)
John Dotson: "The Great Beauty" (Italy)
Ben Piper:The Great Beauty
Webb:The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
Original Score Gravity -- Steven Price Philomena -- Alexandre Desplat The Book Thief -- John Williams Saving Mr. Banks -- Thomas Newman Her -- William Butler and Owen Pallett
Michael Weyer: Steven Price, "Gravity."
Terry Lewis: "Gravity" -- Steven Price
Hayhurst:"Gravity" -- Steven Price
Wilson: Steven Price, "Gravity"
Jeremy Thomas: "Gravity" -- Steven Price
Tony Farinella: "Gravity" -- Steven Price
John Dotson: "Gravity" -- Steven Price
Webb: Steven Price, Gravity
Best Original Song Frozen: "Let it Go" -- Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom: "Ordinary Love" -- U2, Paul Hewson Her: "The Moon Song" -- Karen O, Spike Jonze Despicable Me 2: "Happy" -- Pharrell Williams
Michael Weyer: "Let It Go."
Terry Lewis: "Despicable Me 2": "Happy" -- Pharrell Williams
Hayhurst: "Frozen": "Let it Go" -- Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez
Wilson: "Let It Go," Frozen; Music and Lyric by Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez
Jeremy Thomas: "Frozen": "Let it Go" -- Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez. Another slam dunk for Frozen. U2 has an outside shot but this will not be Pharrell or Karen O's year. And let's be honest, Idina Menzel's performance of the song easily makes it the winner. Not to mention that it is perfectly fit within the film.
Tony Farinella: "Frozen": "Let it Go" -- Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez
John Dotson: "Frozen": "Let it Go" -- Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez
Ben Piper: Let It Go, Frozen.
Webb: "Let It Go," Frozen; Music and Lyric by Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez
Best Achievement in Production Design 12 Years a Slave -- Adam Stockhausen and Alice Baker The Great Gatsby -- Catherine Martin and Beverley Dunn American Hustle -- Judy Becker and Heather Loeffler Gravity -- Andy Nicholson, Rosie Goodwin and Joanne Woollard Her -- K.K. Barrett and Gene Serdena
Michael Weyer: "The Great Gatsby"
Terry Lewis: "American Hustle" -- Judy Becker and Heather Loeffler
Hayhurst: "12 Years a Slave" -- Adam Stockhausen and Alice Baker
Wilson: Catherine Martin and Beverley Dunn, "The Great Gatsby"
Jeremy Thomas: "The Great Gatsby" -- Catherine Martin and Beverley Dunn
Tony Farinella: "The Great Gatsby" -- Catherine Martin and Beverley Dunn
John Dotson: "The Great Gatsby" -- Catherine Martin and Beverley Dunn
Ben Piper: The Great Gatsby
Webb: Catherine Martin and Beverly Dunn, The Great Gatsby
Best Achievement in Cinematography Gravity -- Emmanuel Lubezki Inside Llewyn Davis -- Bruno Delbonnel Nebraska -- Phedon Papamichael Prisoners -- Roger Deakins The Grandmaster -- Phillippe Le Sourd
Michael Weyer: Emmanuel Lubezki, "Gravity."
Terry Lewis: "Gravity" -- Emmanuel Lubezki
Hayhurst: "Gravity" -- Emmanuel Lubezki
Wilson: Emmanuel Lubezki, "Gravity"
Jeremy Thomas: "Gravity" -- Emmanuel Lubezki
Tony Farinella: "Gravity" -- Emmanuel Lubezki
John Dotson: "Gravity" -- Emmanuel Lubezki
Webb: Emmanuel Lubezki, Gravity
Best Achievement in Costume Design The Great Gatsby -- Catherine Martin 12 Years a Slave -- Patricia Norris The Grandmaster -- William Chang Suk Ping American Hustle -- Michael Wilkinson The Invisible Woman -- Michael O'Connor
Michael Weyer: Michael Wilkinson, "American Hustle."
Terry Lewis: "12 Years a Slave" -- Patricia Norris
Hayhurst: "The Great Gatsby" -- Catherine Martin
Wilson: Catherine Martin, "The Great Gatsby"
Jeremy Thomas: "The Great Gatsby" -- Catherine Martin
Tony Farinella: "The Great Gatsby" -- Catherine Martin
John Dotson: "American Hustle" -- Michael Wilkinson
Ben Piper:The Great Gasby
Webb: Catherine Martin, The Great Gatsby
Best Documentary Feature The Act of Killing
20 Feet From Stardom
Cutie and the Boxer
Michael Weyer: "The Act of Killing"
Terry Lewis: "Cutie and the Boxer"
Hayhurst:"20 Feet From Stardom"
Wilson: "20 Feet From Stardom"
Jeremy Thomas: "20 Feet From Stardom". Act of Killing would be my pick, but 20 Feet has the momentum.
Tony Farinella:Act of Killing
John Dotson: "20 Feet From Stardom"
Ben Piper: 20 Feet From Stardom
Webb:20 Feet from Stardom
Best Documentary Short Subject CaveDigger
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall
Michael Weyer: "The Lady in Number 6."
Terry Lewis: "Facing Fear"
Hayhurst:"The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life"
Wilson: "The Lady in Number 6"
Jeremy Thomas: "The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life"
Tony Farinella: "The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life"
John Dotson: "The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved my Life"
Ben Piper: The Lady In Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Webb:The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Best Achievement in Film Editing Gravity -- Alfonso Cuaron, Mark Sanger 12 Years a Slave-- Joe Walker Captain Phillips -- Christopher Rouse American Hustle -- Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers and Alan Baumgarten Dallas Buyers Club -- John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa
Michael Weyer: "Gravity"
Terry Lewis: "Gravity" -- Alfonso Cuaron, Mark Sanger
Hayhurst: "Gravity" -- Alfonso Cuaron, Mark Sanger
Wilson: Christopher Rouse, "Captain Phillips"
Jeremy Thomas: "Captain Phillips" -- Christopher Rouse
John Dotson: "Gravity" -- Alfonso Cuaron, Mark Sanger
Ben Piper:Captain Phillips
Webb:Captain Phillips -- Christopher Rouse
Best Achievement in Makeup & Hairstyling The Lone Ranger -- Joel Harlow and Gloria Pasqua-Casny Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa -- Stephen Prouty Dallas Buyers Club -- Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews
Michael Weyer: "Dallas Buyers Club"
Terry Lewis: "Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa" -- Stephen Prouty
Hayhurst: "Dallas Buyers Club" -- Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews
Wilson: Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews, "Dallas Buyers Club"
Jeremy Thomas: "Dallas Buyers Club" -- Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews
Tony Farinella: "Dallas Buyers Club" -- Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews
John Dotson: "Dallas Buyers Club" -- Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews
Ben Piper:Dallas Buyers Club
Webb: Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews, Dallas Buyers Club.
Best Animated Short Film Feral
Get a Horse!
Room on the Broom
Michael Weyer: "Get a Horse!"
Terry Lewis: "Room on the Broom"
Hayhurst: "Get a Horse!"
Wilson: "Get a Horse!"
Jeremy Thomas: "Get a Horse!"
Tony Farinella: "Get a Horse!"
John Dotson: ""Get a Horse!"
Ben Piper:Get A Horse
Webb:Get a Horse!
Best Live Action Short Film Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn't Me)
Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before Losing Everything)
Pitaako Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)
The Voorman Problem
"Michael Weyer: "Helium"
Terry Lewis: "Pitaako Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)"
Hayhurst: "The Voorman Problem"
Wilson: "Just Before Losing Everything"
Jeremy Thomas: "Helium"
Tony Farinella: "The Voorman Problem"
John Dotson: "Helium"
Best Achievement in Sound Editing Gravity
All Is Lost
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Michael Weyer: "Gravity"
Terry Lewis: "Captain Phillips"
Jeremy Thomas: "Gravity"
Tony Farinella: "Gravity"
John Dotson: "Gravity"
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Michael Weyer: "Gravity"
Terry Lewis: "Lone Survivor"
Jeremy Thomas: "Gravity"
Tony Farinella: "Gravity"
John Dotson: "Gravity"
Best Achievement in Visual Effects Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Star Trek Into Darkness
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger