The new ARG poll has Obama up by 12 points, 38% to Hillary's 26%, with John Edwards at 20%.
The new Rasmussen poll has Obama up by 12 points, 39% to Hillary's 27%, with John Edwards at 18%.
Not too long ago, Hillary Clinton was viewing New Hampshire as a firewall state for her incase she lost Iowa. Well, the firewall has been burned to the ground. The thing to watch here is John Edwards and whether he can come in second in New Hampshire. A third place finish for him would effectively eliminate him, whether he quits or not. If Hillary loses New Hampshire, look for her to give up on all the early primary states and shift focus to the big states on February 5th, much like Rudy Giuliani's strategy.
On the Republican side, John McCain seems to be pulling away from Mitt Romney.
The new CNN/WMUR poll has John McCain up 6 points, 32% to Romney's 26%, with Mike Huckabee at 14%. Huckabee's 14% is the highest he has been in New Hampshire, so he is also seeing a bit of an Iowa boost.
The new USA Today/Gallup poll has John McCain up 4 points, 34% to Romney's 30%, with Mike Huckabee at 13%.
The new Strategic Vision poll has John McCain up 8 points, 35% to Romney's 27%, with Mike Huckabee at 13%.
The new ARG poll has John McCain up 14 points, 39% to Romney's 25%, with Mike Huckabee at 14%.
And Rasmussen has John McCain up 2 points, 32% to Romney's 30%, with Mike Huckabee at 11%.
If Romney loses NH, he is basically finished whether he quits or not, and it then goes down to a three person race on the Republican side with Huckabee, McCain, and Giuliani.