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 411mania » Politics » Columns
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All Polls Show Obama With Big Leads In NH
Posted by Ashish on 01.06.2008



Plenty of new polls for New Hampshire came out this weekend and there is no denying it, Barack Obama has a big lead.

The new USA Today/Gallup poll has Obama up by 13 points, 41% to Hillary's 28%, with John Edwards at 19%.

The new CNN/WMUR poll has Obama up by 10 points, 39% to Hillary's 27%, with John Edwards at 16%.

The new Strategic Vision poll has Obama up by 9 points, 38% to Hillary's 29%, with John Edwards at 19%.

The new ARG poll has Obama up by 12 points, 38% to Hillary's 26%, with John Edwards at 20%.

The new Rasmussen poll has Obama up by 12 points, 39% to Hillary's 27%, with John Edwards at 18%.

Not too long ago, Hillary Clinton was viewing New Hampshire as a firewall state for her incase she lost Iowa. Well, the firewall has been burned to the ground. The thing to watch here is John Edwards and whether he can come in second in New Hampshire. A third place finish for him would effectively eliminate him, whether he quits or not. If Hillary loses New Hampshire, look for her to give up on all the early primary states and shift focus to the big states on February 5th, much like Rudy Giuliani's strategy.

On the Republican side, John McCain seems to be pulling away from Mitt Romney.

The new CNN/WMUR poll has John McCain up 6 points, 32% to Romney's 26%, with Mike Huckabee at 14%. Huckabee's 14% is the highest he has been in New Hampshire, so he is also seeing a bit of an Iowa boost.

The new USA Today/Gallup poll has John McCain up 4 points, 34% to Romney's 30%, with Mike Huckabee at 13%.

The new Strategic Vision poll has John McCain up 8 points, 35% to Romney's 27%, with Mike Huckabee at 13%.

The new ARG poll has John McCain up 14 points, 39% to Romney's 25%, with Mike Huckabee at 14%.

And Rasmussen has John McCain up 2 points, 32% to Romney's 30%, with Mike Huckabee at 11%.

If Romney loses NH, he is basically finished whether he quits or not, and it then goes down to a three person race on the Republican side with Huckabee, McCain, and Giuliani.


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Comments (7)

 
When you're filling your car with $3 gas and buying some $2.65 a dozen eggs,
remember who is running on stopping deficit spending. The war for oil is what
caused prices for anything that eats grain to skyrocket. When THOSE prices
rise, the fresh fruit seller raises his prices again, now you have some nice $5
a pound grapes in the market. Laugh all you want, it's YOUR money being spent.
YOU'RE the one going to pay $250 a week for groceries. Still think Ron Paul
sounds like a bad idea? He's the ONLY candidate, Republican or Democrat that is
running on reducing your cost of living. Maybe you have plenty money. Me, I'm
not so rich.

Posted By: Louis Nardozi (Guest)  on January 06, 2008 at 09:32 PM

 
 
Oh, oh! Me next! THEN, Ron Paul will, like, totally give everyone a pink pony
that runs on sunshine -- oops, I mean solid gold. And then he'll criminalize
abortion! That will show all of those freedom-haters.

Er.

Posted By: Guest (Guest)  on January 06, 2008 at 10:11 PM

 
 
This makes more sense.  The polls are starting to all show the same thing.  As
fro Rep. Paul... He does have a lot of interesting things to say.  He will have
to run as an Independent or Libertarian because he  did not win Iowa or Wyoming
and looks to be far off the lead in NH.

Posted By: Dan Martin (Registered)  on January 07, 2008 at 12:13 AM

 
 
Ron Paul as his heart in the right place.  You certainly don't know much about
the other candidates though.  They may not cover enough details for you in
their speech's, but these speech's are only an outline of their policies. 
Please visit all of the candidates websites and independent websites on the
candidates to find and double check their detailed policies.  I can clearly
tell that you have not done so.

Ron Paul may be discussing very different methods to fix our economy, but that
does not mean he is the ONLY candidate addressing the economy issue and the
publics cost of living.  Take the blinders off and look around a bit.

Posted By: SWZR (Guest)  on January 07, 2008 at 03:10 AM

 
 
To be on topic with in regards to the poll numbers, and my just having spent the
weekend in NH canvassing neighborhoods for Obama, the momentum is clearly taking
off, but if he wins here in NH and then in SC, the momentum will have gone
ballistic.

And those of us who are not racist and believe wholeheartedly in the American
Dream will get to see someone accomplish what the world thought to be
impossible.  A minority has earned the right to be the President of the United
States of America.  I for one, having grown up in the south, will be very very
proud of Obama and our country!

Posted By: SWZR (Guest)  on January 07, 2008 at 03:15 AM

 
 
I am a life long Republican but there is something about Obama that is makeing
want him to win and I will vote for him if and when he comes out the winner for
the  Democrat side

Posted By: Guest#2167 (Guest)  on January 07, 2008 at 07:25 AM

 
 
OK, I feel compelled to comment. $3 gas. The very idea! I'm from England and the
petrol/gas/oil costs nearly £1 per litre. That's about £4 per
gallon, although a British gallon is (I think) about 20% larger than an
American gallon the fact remains that comparitively that's damn expensive. I
would obviously love to pay less. But here's the deal breaker: IT IS NEVER
GOING TO GET SIGNIFICANTLY CHEAPER. IT IS A FINITE RESOURCE. There are only so
many oil rich countries we can jointly invade.

Posted By: PeterT (Guest)  on January 07, 2008 at 02:24 PM

 


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