Does Barack Obama Have Enough Time?
Posted by Ashish on 01.28.2008
He has the momentum, but does he have enough time?
It is clear today that Barack Obama has all the momentum going into February 5th. He scored a massive win over Hillary Clinton on Saturday that many described as "embarassing" for Clinton and followed that up with a big endorsement from Ted Kennedy today. Kennedy didn't just endorse Obama, he gave a passionate and personal speech urging America to support Obama and subtly going after the Clintons for their divisive politics.
The big question now is, does Obama have enough time to make up ground in the February 5th states? Polls have him trailing in most states (except Illinois, Georgia, and Colorado). He will surely make up some ground in places like California, New York, and New Jersey, but can he rise enough in the next few days to upset Clinton on the 5th?
In hopes of doing so, he will take Kennedy on the campaign trail with him to California and other states, and has many of his other high ranking supporters speaking on his behalf in many states over the next week.
The problem Obama is facing is that Super Tuesday heavily favors Clinton for reasons beyond his control. Having so many states vote on the same day basically amounts to a national primary. What this mean is that the candidate with the most name recognition and longest standing organization is at a major advantage because many of the people who will vote will do so without knowing much about any of the candidates and thus will often vote for the one who is the most well known. Obama was able to beat Clinton, or perform very strongly, in all the early states because he had time to give many speeches, allow voters to see him and hear him, and set up strong organization. Now, he won't have time to go and speak directly to the voters. Obama tends to do well the more people see him, while Clinton tends to do worse the more people see her (as evident by the early states where she fell drastically in every state, losing 20-30 point leads in each one).
If the primary was held on March 5th instead of February 5th, Obama would be in a much better position to pull this off.
Posted By: Rich (Guest) on January 29, 2008 at 04:30 PM
I believe that this election will be impressive. This group of young voters will
raise and show that from now their issues are as important as ours. I have
always voted but have never been so passionate to go out and campaign, like I
have for Obama. This is why I feel young people will make a big difference in
this election, their future is at stake...I see it in my two sons. It is
'Your' turn young voters to go out and shine. Lets prove those polls wrong, go
out and VOTE...
MAKE A DIFFERENCE.. Change your tomorrow, I'm Hopeful for all of US. YES WE
CAN.....
SI SE PUEDE... And it goes like this.. "WE THE PEOPLE"!!!!!!!
Posted By: Sofia (Guest) on February 01, 2008 at 05:32 AM
