Superdelegate Update: Obama Gains 3, Clinton Gains 1
Posted by Ashish on 04.28.2008
Obama continues to outpace Clinton among superdelegates...
Barack Obama continues to outpace Hillary Clinton among undecided superdelegates. He picked up two more supers over the weekend and added one more today in New Mexico Senator Jeff Bingaman. Obama has now gained six superdelegates since Clinton's win in PA on Tuesday while Clinton has gained two since then (and the two Clinton got were add-on delegates which differ from official superdelegates). The endorsement also means that Obama now has more Senator superdelegates supporting him than Clinton, 15 to 14. Clinton gained one superdelegate over the weekend.
So my overall superdelegate count now has Clinton leading Obama 264 to 244, a lead of 20. This is the closest Obama has been as he continues to eat into Clinton's superdelegate lead basically daily. At this point, assuming things play out as expected in the remaining states, Hillary Clinton will need 76% of the remaining undecided superdelegates to endorse her to win. Since February 5th, she has gotten less than 5% of the undecided superdelegates, so she has some hard work ahead of her.
And just to clarify, add-on delegates are delegates added on in states. Based on who wins where, they end up getting certain add-on delegates. For example, since Clinton won Arkansas by so much, most of the add-on delegates would go to her. So they don't reflect momentum, as in a superdelegate endorsing someone. Some 60 add-on delegates are expected to be revealed in the next week or so and Obama is expected to get a slight majority among them since he has won more states. The add-ons ARE included in the total 794 superdelegate number, meaning the actual number of undecided superdelegates is pretty low now, around 200.
Why is it ok for superdelagates to show there support NOW? But yet everyone is worried about them doing it in august?There seems to me no diffrence i mean dont get me wrong i really dont care if its now or later,just a little confused about the fuss. Anyways i really think the supers should take a real hard look at the risk Obama brings and support Hillary.
Posted By: Vote Hillary (Guest) on April 28, 2008 at 06:16 PM
GO OBAMA GO! GO OBAMA GO!
Posted By: K-Money (Guest) on April 28, 2008 at 06:52 PM
If Hillary wins this nomination without winning the most elected delegates, John McCain will almost certainly win in November. He will highlight the fact that she takes more lobbyist and PAC money than any other candidate (and the only one left who takes any at all). He will point to the fact that she too voted for the Iraq War and that she defended her decision until she started running for President. I can't tell you the amount of people that say they will NEVER vote for Hillary Rodham Clinton.
Posted By: Obama '08 (Guest) on April 28, 2008 at 06:56 PM
Obama please put her out of my misery!
Posted By: Bill (Guest) on April 29, 2008 at 08:58 AM
I'm glad te read this article: it makes the whole thing more visible. Thank you.
(I still just wonder why the SD's didn't come out earlier...)
Posted By: paulo (Guest) on April 30, 2008 at 11:53 AM
STAY CURRENT