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 411mania » Politics » Blog Entry
Must Read Article On Obama's General Election Strategy
Posted by Ashish on 05.11.2008



Poblano has a must read article up where he does a demographic breakdown of the percentage increase among African Americans, young voters, and Hispanics in the 2008 Democratic primary compared to 2004, and how the electoral map will look if Obama is able to get those increases in the general election. And the final result is pretty stunning with very red states like Texas, Georgia, and South Carolina all going to Obama. Check out the article here.

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Comments (3)

 
Wishful thinking Ashish.

Posted By: Drew (Guest)  on May 11, 2008 at 10:34 PM

 
 
A narrowminded view, Drew...

Posted By: David R (Guest)  on May 12, 2008 at 03:36 AM

 
 
But therein lies the rub. They do actually have to get out and vote on election day. We'll see what happens. Also, I expect McCain will go very negative on Obama, and soon. We shall see.

Posted By: Archer (Guest)  on May 12, 2008 at 12:04 PM

 
STAY CURRENT
Latest Major National Poll
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.10-07.13 ABC/WP 50 42
Ashish's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
06.20.08 306 232

Advertisement

Battleground States: Latest Polls
New Hampshire (04)
Date Poll Obama McCain
06.18-06.18 Rasmussen 50 39
Pennsylvania (21)
Date Poll Obama McCain
06.22-06.22 Rasmussen 46 42
Ohio (20)
Date Poll Obama McCain
06.20-06.22 SurveyUSA 48 46
Michigan (17)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.10-07.10 Rasmussen 50 42
Indiana (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
06.21-06.23 SurveyUSA 48 47
Iowa (07)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.10-07.10 Rasmussen 51 41
Montana (03)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.01-07.01 Rasmussen 48 43
Missouri (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.07-07.10 Research 2000 48 43
Virginia (13)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.16-07.16 Rasmussen 47 48
North Carolina (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.15-07.15 Rasmussen 45 48
Georgia (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.02-07.02 InsiderAdv 44 46
Florida (27)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.07-07.08 War Room 47.2 44.5
New Mexico (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
06.18-06.18 Rasmussen 47 39
Colorado (09)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.09-07.10 Public Policy 47 43
Nevada (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.16-07.16 Rasmussen 47 45


Safe States (for now)
Obama McCain
CA (55) AK (03)
CT (07) AL (09)
DC (03) AR (06)
DE (03) AZ (10)
HI (04) ID (04)
IL (21) KS (06)
MA (12) KY (08)
MD (10) LA (09)
ME (04) NE (05)
MN (10) OK (07)
NJ (15) MS (06)
NY (31) ND (03)
OR (07) SC (08)
RI (04) SD (03)
VT (03) TN (11)
WA (11) TX (34)
WI (10) UT (05)
WV (05)
WY (03)
TOTAL: 210 EV TOTAL: 145 EV
270 needed to win


Other Blogs Worth Reading
The Field 538
RealClearPolitics Ben Smith
Mark Ambinder The Stump
First Read The Page


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