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 411mania » Politics » Blog Entry
Obama Not Just After Presidency
Posted by Ashish on 06.25.2008



Politico has a great article up on how Obama is planning to compete in 14 states that George W. Bush won in 2004 including places that some thought wouldn't even be in play this year, such as Indiana, Nebraska (which awards some electoral votes by congressional district) and Georgia. His camp also feels the need to really defend only four states Kerry won in 2004 -- Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire. But the Presidency isn't all Obama is concerned with. His campaign is making a much stronger effort than past candidates to try and win House and Senate seats across the country, and will invest national resources in local races.
But winning the White House won't be his only goal, deputy campaign manager Steve Hildebrand told Politico: In an unusual move, Obama's campaign will also devote some resources to states it's unlikely to win, with the goal of influencing specific local contests in places such as Texas and Wyoming.

"Texas is a great example where we might not be able to win the state, but we want to pay a lot of attention to it," Hildebrand said. "It's one of the most important redistricting opportunities in the country."
Much of Obama's governing strategy seems based on having near majorities in the House and Senate, if not outright majorities, so that he can get his agenda passed. This type of investment in local races will go a long way in making Democrats competitive in traditionally red states like Texas.
In Texas, for instance, Obama's three dozen offices were overrun with volunteers during the primary; the campaign's challenge is, in part, to find something useful to do with all that free labor. But, while Hildebrand said Obama is unlikely to pay for television advertising outside a core of about 15 states the candidate thinks he can win, he will spend some money on staff. Obama's chief strategist, David Axelrod, reportedly told donors in Houston that he would send 15 staffers to Texas, and the campaign has committed to having some staff on the ground in all 50 states.
It's a strategy that will either result in a huge win -- Obama as President with near or outright Democratic majorities in both the House and the Senate -- or a ton of second guessing after the election on why Obama wasted resources in red states instead of using said resources in the traditional swing states.

The 14 red states Obama is planning to compete heavily in are: Iowa, Ohio, New Mexco, Nevada, Colorado, Florida, Missouri, Virginia, North Carolina, Montana, North Dakota, Indiana, Georgia and Alaska. Polls currently have him leading or tied in all of them except Montana.


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Comments (4)

 
GET'EM!!

Posted By: stronelis (Guest)  on June 25, 2008 at 02:42 PM

 
 
smart strategy

Posted By: Guest#7472 (Guest)  on June 25, 2008 at 04:32 PM

 
 
There is a Democratic Hispanic guy running for a Senate seat in Texas. I forget his name but I think he has a shot. Stuff like this will help people like him all over the country.

Posted By: Hasbro (Guest)  on June 25, 2008 at 04:34 PM

 
 
It's a smart strategy but a risky one too. If Obama just put everything into Ohio and Iowa, he'd win the election for sure. Doing it this way has greater risk but also greater potential reward.

Posted By: Reginald (Guest)  on June 25, 2008 at 06:57 PM

 
STAY CURRENT
Latest Major National Poll
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.19-08.22 ABC/WP 49 45
Ashish's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
08.04.08 309 229
RCP's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
08.24.08 273 265

Advertisement

Battleground States: Latest Polls
New Hampshire (04)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.18-08.18 Rasmussen 47 46
Pennsylvania (21)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 48 43
Ohio (20)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.24 Quinnipiac 44 43
Michigan (17)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.20 Det. Free Press 46 39
Indiana (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.16-08.19 SurveyUSA 44 50
Minnesota (10)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.17 MN Radio 48 38
Iowa (07)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.04-08.13 U. Of Iowa 50 43
Montana (03)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.29-07.29 Rasmussen 47 47
Missouri (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.13-08.17 Public Policy 40 50
Virginia (13)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.20-08.22 Public Policy 47 45
North Carolina (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.20-08.23 Public Policy 42 45
Georgia (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.14-08.14 Rasmussen 44 53
Florida (27)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.24 Quinnipiac 43 47
New Mexico (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 53 40
Colorado (09)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 46 47
Nevada (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 49 44


Safe States (for now)
Obama McCain
CA (55) AK (03)
CT (07) AL (09)
DC (03) AR (06)
DE (03) AZ (10)
HI (04) ID (04)
IL (21) KS (06)
MA (12) KY (08)
MD (10) LA (09)
ME (04) NE (05)
NJ (15) OK (07)
NY (31) MS (06)
OR (07) ND (03)
RI (04) SC (08)
VT (03) SD (03)
WA (11) TN (11)
WI (10) TX (34)
UT (05)
WV (05)
WY (03)
TOTAL: 200 EV TOTAL: 145 EV
270 needed to win


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