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 411mania » Politics » Blog Entry
Romney Frontrunner For McCain's VP Spot
Posted by Ashish on 06.30.2008



Politico reports that Mitt Romney is now the frontrunner to land John McCain's VP slot and the main reason is because of his ability to raise money.
One of the chief reasons the Massachusetts governor is looking so attractive is his ability to raise huge amounts of money quickly through his former business partners and from fellow members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, the Mormons.

McCain sources tell Politico that they believe Romney could raise $50 million in 60 days. One close Romney adviser said it could even be $60 million.
Of course, if McCain does opt into public financing as expected, whatever money Romney raises could only be spent up until the GOP convention in early September. But the bigger question -- is Romney's money worth bringing on in exchange for further demoralizing the Republican Evangelicals that basically won the election for Bush in 2004? They are not going to be happy about having a Mormon on the ticket, especially when they weren't all that excited about McCain in the first place. And having a Mormon on the ticket also opens it up to the same type of viral smear tactics that Obama has been victim to. A huge chunk of the country still says openly in polls that they won't vote for a Mormon. Romney also brings with him some other real problems, the main one being that he has yet to show an ability to connect with ANYONE. He had every financial and organizational advantage in the primaries, and HUGE leads in Iowa and New Hampshire a few weeks out from voting day, and managed to blow it all. He comes off as a very fake, pandering politician. His good qualities? He has "the look," and he is also a former Governor who can make the claim that he is going to Washington to change it. Of course, he had all of that in the primaries and still didn't come close to winning.

On the flip side, what if McCain picked someone like Mike Huckabee? Huckabee wouldn't bring any money with him but he would energize Evangelicals probably more than anyone else can.

Some think McCain should make a very surprising pick, perhaps a woman or some other "out of the box" pick like Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal. The line of thought there is that McCain is having a hard time getting attention in this race because Obama sucks up all the media focus and is already falling behind. If he were to pick a woman, it would add a lot of buzz to the ticket and be somewhat of a hail mary that might turn things around. It's probably way too early to think like that though.

UPDATE: People in the comments section have pointed out a few positives that Romney brings to a ticket which I failed to mention above. First, he was born in Michigan and has ties to the state. Michigan is one of the few blue states McCain currently has a shot at flipping. Second, Nevada, a key swing state, has a lot of Mormons, so he could help drive that group out to vote. Third, Romney is obviously an economic expert and has had tremendous success in the business world. My main point, though, was that McCain was never able to get people to buy his strong success in the economy during the primaries. Yes, the general election and primaries are different, but the ability to connect with voters doesn't change. You either can or you can't. Romney wasn't able to. He could very well be the smartest guy who ran for President this year, and has a very impressive track record in business, but if you can't connect with voters, it doesn't matter. I also think that not having Evangelicals turn out strong for McCain could not only lose him Virginia, but could play a major role in tightening Southern states like Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina, where Obama is already within single digits. And putting a Mormon on the ticket when the main candidate is already not energizing that group could be dangerous. And another point worth noting is that in a year where the Republican strategy against Obama centers largely on painting him as an out of touch elitist, putting a guy like Mitt Romney in the spotlight will take away from that message. Romney is a filthy rich millionaire who looks more like, and comes off more as, an elitist than anyone else who ran this year.


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Comments (12)

 
No offense Ashish, but being a radical Obama supporter, I'm not surprised you're highlighting the negatives of this development.

What Romney brings is critical economic experience. He made a fortune as a venture capitalist and gave Massachusetts a surplus during his tenure as governor. Yes, he brings in critical funds, but the main thing is economic experience, since Obama is consistently voted as more reliable on the economy as McCain.

Yes, Romney lost in the primaries, but sometimes things just don't go your way. Ask Hillary Clinton about that one. Being placed on a ticket as VP and running for President are two very different things.

Also, it will demonize evangelicals? What does McCain have left to lose? He's already doing very poorly in polling, so why not take a crap shoot? Also, Romney's background in Michigan could help swing the state for McCain.

The evangelical thing would primarily affect the South. And I'm sorry, politically correct or not, I just do not see the south voting for a black man. That's just how it is. Trust me, I live in the South, and no matter what people tell pollers, race DOES have a factor down here.

Everyone keeps saying Bobby Jindal, but there is no chance in hell. Having him on the ticket would only go further to emphasize the age of McCain. Also, you then lose your ability to highlight Obama's youth and inexperience, since you have someone even younger on your ticket.

I personally would LOVE for Mike Huckabee to be the pick, however for some reason McCain just doesn't appear interested. But as I said above, McCain is already doing poorly, so maybe it's worth the risk.


Posted By: Adam B. (Guest)  on June 30, 2008 at 02:34 PM

 
 
Since Obama's main strengths are his youth and charm (and that's about it), it wouldn't hurt McCain to bring in someone with vanity like Romney or youth like Jindal.

Posted By: Rick (Guest)  on June 30, 2008 at 03:13 PM

 
 
picking mitt would bring with a lot of fresh air! as a hillary supporter-i would look at mccain only if romney is on the ticket-integrity, pragmatic and clean as a whistle.

Posted By: nancy (Guest)  on June 30, 2008 at 04:27 PM

 
 
Romney does help him in a few areas though. Nevada, Colorado, etc. all have significant Mormon populations that will be crucial in November. He could also help in Michigan. That and he offsets McCain's weakness on economic issues.

Posted By: Chris Connolly (Registered)  on June 30, 2008 at 04:33 PM

 
 
Politico can put the crystal ball away. McCain, for all his faults, will not choose green for plastic. Mitt Romney is plastic through and through. Yes, this country has a love affair with plastic---hair, personality, body parts etc. but McCain will look towards integrity and character. (sorry Romney)
He has too much at stake to make this kind of mistake--with his last chance at the presidency. Romney spent eneough money to eradicate diseases in the world and still lost to Huckabee of all people. Fortunately, eneough people know a phoney when they see one. That is why he doesn't stand a chance.
Now, you can elect Jerry Springer VP for Obama and have Romney as their first guest...this is a much more likely scenario.


Posted By: ted811 (Registered)  on June 30, 2008 at 05:47 PM

 
 
Governor Mike Huckabee, to many many is our only choice. Mccain's best chance is to have the support of Huck and the rest of us.... his Army.

Posted By: Dan Campbell (Guest)  on June 30, 2008 at 06:04 PM

 
 
I'm quite sure John McCain will lose in November if he picks Romney. Romney may have money connections, but he comes across as fake and pandering in a year where voters are looking for something and someone to believe in.

Romney only does well among Mormons and some border security conservatives. Neither group is large enough to significantly help McCain, and Romney actually hurts McCain with key groups he need to improve his standing in if he wants to win. Namely, Hispanics, women, and moderates/independents. Sarah Palin from Alaska, Tim Pawlenty from Minnesota, or maybe an outside chance of Charlie Crist from Florida would be my short list. John McCain could conceivably win with one of them.

A McCain/Romney ticket is guaranteed to lose.


Posted By: Dustin (Guest)  on June 30, 2008 at 09:16 PM

 
 
Romney may have money, but many of the social conservatives don't trust him. And without them, McCain doesn't have a chance. If Bush hadn't had them on his side he would have lost the past two elections.

Posted By: MrsP (Registered)  on June 30, 2008 at 11:31 PM

 
 
I will only vote McCain if Romney is VP. Romney is the only competent choice. To hell with these evangelical Mormon-phobs.

Posted By: Steven Rinehart (Guest)  on July 01, 2008 at 03:34 AM

 
 
It appears that it’s all down to Alaska Gov Sarah Palin or Mitt Romney, and team Romney fears Palin now has the best shot, so Romney camp is mounting a blogosphere-wide assault via Politico.

The tip-off that Politico is just a “promote Romney” piece is that it mentions EVERY NAME in the next two tiers of Veep prospects EXCEPT SARAH PALIN!!! — even names far more unlikely than Palin (since Romney camp knows Palin is the ONLY ONE who tops — I’ll say tops by far — Romney as McCain’s best pick).

Bottom line, Romney and Politico fear Palin most — as do the Dems and the MSM. (By the way, the Dems and MSM do not fear Romney the most — which says a lot.)

AOL, a main on-line pro-Obama/pro-Dem player, is now carrying the Politico piece promoting Romney buzz.

Clearly AOL wants McCain and the GOP to lose the general elction — hence they gladly promote Romney (no mention of Palin).

Also, CNN had Romney — kind of out of the blue — attacking Obama. Again, CNN, wanting McCain and the GOP to lose, gladly promotes Romney (to attempt to avert the Palin threat).

All the media frenzy which will surround the remarkable Palin “story” — essentially free to McCain — will be worth millions and millions of dollars of coverage and PR (more money than Romney would provide anyway).


Posted By: Ted (Guest)  on July 01, 2008 at 05:20 AM

 
 
MITT PHONEY is the worst pick mccain can make. he will surely lose if he picks him. Mitt brings nothing to the table and is far a conservative in every way. the company bain that he founded was just trying to procure a backdoor under the table deal with the goverment that would severly compromise our security. He is no economic genius, look at the economy of Mass..Is is going bankrupt with that hillary style mandated health care coverage, i can see a swift boat comming now of people that had to leave the city b/c they could not afford the fees that mr FEE FEE increased... Mike Huckabee is the only sound choice that can be made here.. If the repubs want to even have a shot at keeping the white house they had beeter pull huckabee out from under that bus they thru him under and put him on the ticket. As a african american, I will not be voting for obamanation, and as a true evangelical conservative, if MITT PHONEY is on the tick, i will not be voting at all... Mike Huckabee has more experience, victories under his belt than romney and just b/c he is not a millionaire does not make it ok to chose someone based on who they want... I feel like the repubs are throwing me under the bus as if i do not count or they know whats best for me...They can play that game if they want to and try to force romney down our throats if they want to, then they had better get ready to call President Obamanation, cause i really am not tooo happy voting for mccain, but if huckabee is on the ticket then i could at least stomach it. But with Romney, to liberals that have a history of pushing policies that moon conservative principles in every way, i will not be willing to waste my time... Obamanation already has the upper hand and is energizing his base meanwhile mccain is just assuming that his will be in tack...remember that assumptions is the mother of all f_ckups!

Posted By: sha (Guest)  on July 01, 2008 at 09:54 AM

 
 
Mitt Romney is the worst possible choice. He is a fake, an elitist, and a panderer. Romney spent more than anyone other Republican and still lost the primaries. The middle-class voter would vomit if Romney were on the ticket.

Posted By: Texan1 (Guest)  on July 01, 2008 at 10:08 PM

 
STAY CURRENT
Latest Major National Poll
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.29-08.31 CBS 48 40
Ashish's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
08.04.08 309 229
RCP's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
08.24.08 273 265

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Battleground States: Latest Polls
New Hampshire (04)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.18-08.18 Rasmussen 47 46
Pennsylvania (21)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 48 43
Ohio (20)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.31-09.02 CNN/TIME 47 45
Michigan (17)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.20 Det. Free Press 46 39
Indiana (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.16-08.19 SurveyUSA 44 50
Minnesota (10)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.31-09.02 CNN/TIME 53 41
Iowa (07)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.31-09.02 CNN/TIME 55 40
Montana (03)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.29-07.29 Rasmussen 47 47
Missouri (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.13-08.17 Public Policy 40 50
Virginia (13)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.20-08.22 Public Policy 47 45
North Carolina (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.20-08.23 Public Policy 42 45
Georgia (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.14-08.14 Rasmussen 44 53
Florida (27)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.24 Quinnipiac 43 47
New Mexico (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 53 40
Colorado (09)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 46 47
Nevada (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 49 44


Safe States (for now)
Obama McCain
CA (55) AK (03)
CT (07) AL (09)
DC (03) AR (06)
DE (03) AZ (10)
HI (04) ID (04)
IL (21) KS (06)
MA (12) KY (08)
MD (10) LA (09)
ME (04) NE (05)
NJ (15) OK (07)
NY (31) MS (06)
OR (07) ND (03)
RI (04) SC (08)
VT (03) SD (03)
WA (11) TN (11)
WI (10) TX (34)
UT (05)
WV (05)
WY (03)
TOTAL: 200 EV TOTAL: 145 EV
270 needed to win


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