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 411mania » Politics » Blog Entry
McCain/Bush Ties Working
Posted by Ashish on 07.01.2008



Gallup has a new study out that shows that 68% of America is either "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" that John McCain would pursue policies as president that are too similar to what George W. Bush has pursued. This is the clearest evidence we've gotten so far that the Obama/Democratic strategy against him, which is to tie him to Bush, is working. McCain is a guy who was viewed as a maverick a few years back, but clearly that image is fading. The dangerous number here is among Independents. 67% say McCain would pursue policies as president that are too similar to Bush. Even 45% of Republicans say they are "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" about this.

The poll also asks if people are concerned that Obama will bring too much chance, and 49% say they are "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" that he will. The "too much change isn't good" angle isn't something McCain has played up but may be worth trying based on these numbers.


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STAY CURRENT
Latest Major National Poll
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.03-10.05 CNN 53 45
Ashish's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
10.02.08 333 205
538's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
10.07.08 345 193
RCP's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
10.06.08 364 174

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Battleground States: Latest Polls
New Hampshire (04)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.04-10.05 SurveyUSA 53 40
Pennsylvania (21)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.01-10.05 Morning Call 49 38
Ohio (20)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.03-10.05 ABC News 51 45
Michigan (17)
Date Poll Obama McCain
09.29-10.01 Public Policy 51 41
Indiana (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
09.29-09.30 Research 2000 45 46
Minnesota (10)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.01-10.02 Star Tribune 55 37
Iowa (07)
Date Poll Obama McCain
09.17-09.18 SurveyUSA 54 43
Missouri (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.05-10.05 Rasmussen 50 47
North Carolina (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.04-10.05 Public Policy 50 44
Virginia (13)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.04-10.05 SurveyUSA 53 43
Florida (27)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.05-10.05 Rasmussen 52 45
New Mexico (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
09.29-09.30 SurveyUSA 52 44
Colorado (09)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.05-10.05 Rasmussen 51 45
Nevada (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
10.02-10.02 Rasmussen 51 47


Safe States (for now)
Obama McCain
CA (55) AK (03)
CT (07) AL (09)
DC (03) AR (06)
DE (03) AZ (10)
HI (04) GA (15)
IL (21) ID (04)
MA (12) KS (06)
MD (10) KY (08)
ME (04) LA (09)
NJ (15) NE (05)
NY (31) OK (07)
OR (07) MS (06)
RI (04) MT (03)
VT (03) ND (03)
WA (11) SC (08)
WI (10) SD (03)
TN (11)
TX (34)
UT (05)
WV (05)
WY (03)
WY (03)
TOTAL: 200 EV TOTAL: 163 EV
270 needed to win


Other Blogs Worth Reading
The Field 538
RealClearPolitics Ben Smith
Mark Ambinder The Stump
First Read The Page


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