411mania.com: Politics - Montana Stunner

Montana Stunner
Posted by Ashish on 07.03.2008

Obama AHEAD in Montana...

I'll have my usual polls post up later today, but wanted to quickly mention the stunner out of Montana where Rasmussen has Obama AHEAD of McCain, 48% to 43%. This is a state Bush won by 20% in 2004! Now we know why the Obama camp has constantly included the state in its list of swing states.

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STAY CURRENT

Latest Major National Poll
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
09.05-09.07	USA Today	46	50

Ashish's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date	Obama	McCain
08.04.08	309	229

RCP's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date	Obama	McCain
08.24.08	273	265

Battleground States: Latest Polls

New Hampshire (04)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.18-08.18	Rasmussen	47	46

Pennsylvania (21)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.24-08.26	CNN/TIME	48	43

Ohio (20)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.31-09.02	CNN/TIME	47	45

Michigan (17)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.17-08.20	Det. Free Press	46	39

Indiana (11)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.16-08.19	SurveyUSA	44	50

Minnesota (10)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.31-09.02	CNN/TIME	53	41

Iowa (07)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.31-09.02	CNN/TIME	55	40

Montana (03)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
07.29-07.29	Rasmussen	47	47

Missouri (11)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.13-08.17	Public Policy	40	50

Virginia (13)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.20-08.22	Public Policy	47	45

North Carolina (15)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.20-08.23	Public Policy	42	45

Georgia (15)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.14-08.14	Rasmussen	44	53

Florida (27)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.17-08.24	Quinnipiac	43	47

New Mexico (05)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.24-08.26	CNN/TIME	53	40

Colorado (09)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.24-08.26	CNN/TIME	46	47

Nevada (05)
Date	Poll	Obama	McCain
08.24-08.26	CNN/TIME	49	44

Safe States (for now)

Obama

McCain

CA (55)	AK (03)
CT (07)	AL (09)
DC (03)	AR (06)
DE (03)	AZ (10)
HI (04)	ID (04)
IL (21)	KS (06)
MA (12)	KY (08)
MD (10)	LA (09)
ME (04)	NE (05)
NJ (15)	OK (07)
NY (31)	MS (06)
OR (07)	ND (03)
RI (04)	SC (08)
VT (03)	SD (03)
WA (11)	TN (11)
WI (10)	TX (34)
	UT (05)
	WV (05)
	WY (03)
TOTAL: 200 EV	TOTAL: 145 EV
*270 needed to win*

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Mark Ambinder	The Stump
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