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 411mania » Politics » Blog Entry
New Polls 07.04.08: GA
Posted by Ashish on 07.04.2008



Happy 4th of July everyone. We have one new poll today...

-- In Georgia, InsiderAdvantage has McCain clinging to a tiny lead over Obama, 46% to 44% with Bob Barr getting 4%. Two weeks ago, InsiderAdvantage had McCain leading by 1%, so not much has changed here. Rasmussen and Strategic Vision have shown 10% and 8% leads for McCain in Georgia and my hunch is that those are probably closer to accurate. But still, any poll showing a state that should be very safe for McCain so close is noteworthy. The poll includes a question about how people in Georgia would react if Obama picked former Georgia Senator Sam Nunn as his VP. 51% said it would make them more likely to support Obama while 11% said it would make them less likely and 38% said it would make no difference.


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STAY CURRENT
Latest Major National Poll
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.29-08.31 CBS 48 40
Ashish's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
08.04.08 309 229
RCP's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
08.24.08 273 265

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Battleground States: Latest Polls
New Hampshire (04)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.18-08.18 Rasmussen 47 46
Pennsylvania (21)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 48 43
Ohio (20)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.31-09.02 CNN/TIME 47 45
Michigan (17)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.20 Det. Free Press 46 39
Indiana (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.16-08.19 SurveyUSA 44 50
Minnesota (10)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.31-09.02 CNN/TIME 53 41
Iowa (07)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.31-09.02 CNN/TIME 55 40
Montana (03)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.29-07.29 Rasmussen 47 47
Missouri (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.13-08.17 Public Policy 40 50
Virginia (13)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.20-08.22 Public Policy 47 45
North Carolina (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.20-08.23 Public Policy 42 45
Georgia (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.14-08.14 Rasmussen 44 53
Florida (27)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.24 Quinnipiac 43 47
New Mexico (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 53 40
Colorado (09)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 46 47
Nevada (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 49 44


Safe States (for now)
Obama McCain
CA (55) AK (03)
CT (07) AL (09)
DC (03) AR (06)
DE (03) AZ (10)
HI (04) ID (04)
IL (21) KS (06)
MA (12) KY (08)
MD (10) LA (09)
ME (04) NE (05)
NJ (15) OK (07)
NY (31) MS (06)
OR (07) ND (03)
RI (04) SC (08)
VT (03) SD (03)
WA (11) TN (11)
WI (10) TX (34)
UT (05)
WV (05)
WY (03)
TOTAL: 200 EV TOTAL: 145 EV
270 needed to win


Other Blogs Worth Reading
The Field 538
RealClearPolitics Ben Smith
Mark Ambinder The Stump
First Read The Page


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