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 411mania » Politics » Blog Entry
New Polls 08.07.08: OR, WI, NY, MA
Posted by Ashish on 08.07.2008



John McCain got some strong numbers today...

-- In Wisconsin, Rasmussen has Obama's lead down to 7%, 51% to 44%. Last month Obama led by 11%. The state still isn't close enough to start talking about McCain winning it, but it does show some progress for him and confirms that his new attack strategy is working for now.

-- In Oregon, SurveyUSA has Obama's lead down to 3%, 48% to 45%. This is a pretty surprising result. We'll have to wait and see if any other pollsters show Oregon this close, but either way, it's certainly good news for McCain.

-- In New York, Quinnipiac has Obama up big, 57% to 36%.

-- In Massachusetts, Rasmussen has Obama up comfortably, 51% to 36%.


We'll need to keep an eye on Oregon and Wisconsin to see if McCain can get those states any closer, or if his bump is temporary, like it was in Rasmussen's New Jersey poll last month.


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Comments (2)

 
A follow up to polls Ashish, this one from rasmussen our Evangelical pollster. You vote based on what you watch. Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Fox News viewers say they are likely to vote for John McCain, while those who watch CNN and MSNBC plan to support Barack Obama in November by more than two to one.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 65% of CNN voters plan to vote for the Democratic candidate versus 26% who intend to go for the Republican. Similarly, MSNBC watchers plan to vote for Obama over McCain 63% to 30%.

Only nine percent of those who watch Fox News say they will vote for Obama . (Oh really, nothing to do about lynching himright?)

In a separate survey, 52% of Americans say they watch local television news for information on the campaign at least several times a week, including 37% who say they watch it every day. Half (50%) say they watch cable news for that information during the week, including 26% who watch daily.

Among those who get their information on the presidential campaign from local television, the new survey finds that the amount of time one watches impacts how they plan to vote. Those who watch local news every day support Obama over McCain 52% to 42%. But for those who say they watch several days a week but not every day, it’s McCain over Obama 50% to 43%.

While McCain is regarded favorably by 88% of Fox News viewers, only 43% of CNN viewers and 38% of those who watch MSNBC agree. But just 14% of Fox viewers have a favorable opinion of Obama, as opposed to 70% of CNN watchers and 72% of those watching MSNBC.

How voters rate the importance of issues is also reflected in the cable news programming they prefer. For 36% of Fox viewers, national security is the most important issue in the campaign, followed by 32% who say economic issues are number one. By contrast, those who watch CNN rate economic issues over national security 56% to 13%, and MSNBC viewers agree 50% to 12%.


Posted By: Thomas Jefferson (Guest)  on August 07, 2008 at 07:22 PM

 
 
What? Fox news? Pro Republican? Next you'll be telling me that McCain isn't a maverick and is just Bush with a mask on.

Posted By: Pete Thorn (Guest)  on August 08, 2008 at 08:29 AM

 
STAY CURRENT
Latest Major National Poll
Date Poll Obama McCain
09.05-09.07 USA Today 46 50
Ashish's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
08.04.08 309 229
RCP's Latest Electoral College Preview
Date Obama McCain
08.24.08 273 265

Advertisement

Battleground States: Latest Polls
New Hampshire (04)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.18-08.18 Rasmussen 47 46
Pennsylvania (21)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 48 43
Ohio (20)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.31-09.02 CNN/TIME 47 45
Michigan (17)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.20 Det. Free Press 46 39
Indiana (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.16-08.19 SurveyUSA 44 50
Minnesota (10)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.31-09.02 CNN/TIME 53 41
Iowa (07)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.31-09.02 CNN/TIME 55 40
Montana (03)
Date Poll Obama McCain
07.29-07.29 Rasmussen 47 47
Missouri (11)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.13-08.17 Public Policy 40 50
Virginia (13)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.20-08.22 Public Policy 47 45
North Carolina (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.20-08.23 Public Policy 42 45
Georgia (15)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.14-08.14 Rasmussen 44 53
Florida (27)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.17-08.24 Quinnipiac 43 47
New Mexico (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 53 40
Colorado (09)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 46 47
Nevada (05)
Date Poll Obama McCain
08.24-08.26 CNN/TIME 49 44


Safe States (for now)
Obama McCain
CA (55) AK (03)
CT (07) AL (09)
DC (03) AR (06)
DE (03) AZ (10)
HI (04) ID (04)
IL (21) KS (06)
MA (12) KY (08)
MD (10) LA (09)
ME (04) NE (05)
NJ (15) OK (07)
NY (31) MS (06)
OR (07) ND (03)
RI (04) SC (08)
VT (03) SD (03)
WA (11) TN (11)
WI (10) TX (34)
UT (05)
WV (05)
WY (03)
TOTAL: 200 EV TOTAL: 145 EV
270 needed to win


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